Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +52.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -3.2 | +0.3 | +7.7 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 24% | 31% | 24% | -0.5 | +6.2 | -6.9 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 30% | 25% | 25% | -3.0 | -3.9 | +9.2 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 26% | 32% | 23% | -1.0 | +1.0 | +4.8 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 18% | 26% | 37% | 19% | -0.4 | +30.6 | -30.0 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 55% | 12% | 16% | -3.5 | +1.9 | +25.4 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 12% | 55% | 27% | 6% | +52.0 | -21.8 | -19.0 | -11.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Suzuki Yu | 57% | 27% | 12% | 3% | +5.2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 63% | 24% | 10% | 4% | -1.0 | -0.8 | +5.4 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 23% | 11% | 2% | +1.3 | -20.4 | -11.6 | +30.7 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 7,700 from Honda Tomohiro | 74% | 9% | 8% | 9% | -2.6 | -28.7 | +29.9 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 2% | 20% | 10% | +22.4 | -5.6 | -13.2 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +1.4 | +15.0 | +16.0 | -32.4 |