Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +52.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.6 | +1.2 | +7.2 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 25% | 29% | 23% | -0.7 | +4.9 | -2.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 28% | 27% | 23% | -6.1 | -2.6 | +6.8 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 25% | 32% | 25% | -0.5 | +1.7 | +2.6 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 18% | 26% | 34% | 21% | -2.3 | +31.2 | -26.7 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 14% | 55% | 13% | 17% | -0.8 | +2.1 | +24.0 | -25.3 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 12% | 57% | 26% | 5% | +52.5 | -22.4 | -19.1 | -10.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Yu Suzuki | 58% | 27% | 12% | 3% | +4.4 | -0.3 | -3.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 24% | 11% | 2% | -0.2 | -2.0 | +4.0 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 22% | 11% | 2% | -1.0 | -18.4 | -12.1 | +31.4 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda | 71% | 9% | 9% | 11% | +0.6 | -29.3 | +30.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 2% | 19% | 9% | +21.1 | -6.6 | -13.0 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.6 | +15.2 | +16.2 | -33.0 |