Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +22.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -8.0 | +10.2 | +1.1 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 18% | 33% | 25% | 24% | +2.4 | -24.4 | -3.8 | +25.9 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 19% | 15% | 21% | 44% | +22.8 | -19.1 | -4.6 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 7% | 15% | 43% | +3.2 | +25.6 | -1.9 | -26.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 41% | 19% | 17% | 24% | -2.5 | -4.3 | -2.9 | +9.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 17% | 16% | 29% | +12.8 | -6.0 | -4.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,100 | 54% | 9% | 13% | 24% | -1.4 | -7.2 | +12.6 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 53% | 7% | 17% | 23% | +4.1 | -2.3 | +2.6 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 59% | 5% | 17% | 19% | +7.0 | -4.6 | -17.6 | +15.2 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 3% | 3% | 21% | +10.8 | +39.3 | -19.3 | -30.7 |