Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/23 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +27.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -16.9 | 0.0 | +17.5 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 25% | 35% | 25% | +24.8 | -14.5 | -6.6 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 30% | 15% | 32% | 24% | -2.6 | +9.4 | -2.3 | -4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 1,500 from HIRO Shibata | 29% | 22% | 29% | 20% | +1.0 | -8.0 | -1.5 | +8.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota | 29% | 16% | 27% | 27% | +16.9 | -0.7 | +1.5 | -17.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 45% | 15% | 26% | 15% | +6.4 | +0.4 | -3.4 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 15% | 23% | 11% | -2.3 | +2.3 | -2.9 | +3.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 49% | 16% | 22% | 13% | +5.2 | -15.6 | -2.5 | +13.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 59% | 6% | 17% | 18% | -4.1 | +4.2 | +4.9 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 52% | 9% | 21% | 18% | -5.1 | -3.1 | +11.2 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 45% | 8% | 31% | 15% | +27.8 | -19.0 | -7.7 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,200 from HIRO Shibata | 85% | 0% | 7% | 8% | +6.6 | -6.2 | +5.5 | -5.8 |