Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/23 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +28.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Kazunori Takizawa● HIRO Shibata● Geki Shimoishi● Shota Akutsu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● HIRO● Geki● Shota
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Shota Akutsu
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Shota Akutsu
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa26%26%25%23%-15.7-1.0+13.0+3.7
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,00015%25%34%26%+22.6-13.5-3.2-5.9
East 3Exhaustive draw30%16%32%22%-1.6+8.1-4.9-1.6
East 4, 1 honbaShota Akutsu ron 1,500 from HIRO Shibata29%20%28%23%+0.7-7.5+1.5+5.3
East 4, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu29%17%30%25%+18.5-0.6-0.9-17.0
South 1Exhaustive draw46%14%26%13%+4.8-1.6-1.9-1.3
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw50%14%23%13%-1.5+3.0-3.6+2.1
South 2, 2 honbaShota Akutsu ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata50%16%22%13%+5.1-15.3-1.6+11.8
South 3Exhaustive draw60%5%18%17%-4.6+5.0+2.6-3.0
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw53%9%20%18%-5.7-4.3+13.4-3.4
South 3, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata44%7%33%17%+28.2-17.9-8.0-2.2
South 4Geki Shimoishi ron 3,200 from HIRO Shibata85%0%7%8%+6.8-6.2+5.3-5.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)