Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Game 1
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+75.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +28.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -7.0 | -0.4 | +12.6 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 24% | 34% | 22% | -4.9 | -8.6 | +15.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 16% | 47% | 20% | -1.7 | -2.7 | +2.7 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 15% | 15% | 50% | 20% | -9.1 | +10.9 | -0.3 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Ishii Kazuma | 10% | 20% | 51% | 19% | -2.7 | +16.2 | -8.2 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 10% | 34% | 41% | 15% | -24.2 | -3.6 | -0.7 | +28.6 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 27% | 39% | 33% | -3.5 | -17.4 | +28.0 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 7% | 74% | 19% | -4.4 | -5.6 | +21.5 | -11.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 4% | -0.9 | -4.8 | +7.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +13.3 | +8.3 | 0.0 | -21.6 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -7.1 | +11.6 | -3.2 | -1.3 |