Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +48.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +42.2 | -14.2 | -15.6 | -12.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 4,000 | 60% | 14% | 13% | 14% | -3.4 | -6.9 | -2.6 | +12.9 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000 | 57% | 11% | 12% | 20% | -17.2 | +48.5 | -14.2 | -17.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 43% | 8% | 12% | -8.1 | +4.2 | +1.3 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 31% | 48% | 7% | 14% | +1.5 | -1.9 | +3.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 46% | 9% | 12% | +0.9 | +0.5 | -5.6 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 47% | 6% | 14% | -7.9 | -6.6 | +35.1 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 43% | 22% | 7% | -13.3 | -4.0 | -5.9 | +23.2 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 20% | 40% | 21% | 18% | -30.1 | +2.7 | -0.9 | +28.3 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 5% | 41% | 18% | 36% | +2.4 | -6.8 | +48.4 | -44.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 25% | 66% | 7% | +2.4 | -8.7 | +3.2 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 16% | 73% | 8% | +3.5 | +5.2 | -1.2 | -7.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 19% | 73% | 7% | -18.5 | -0.7 | +1.2 | +17.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 14% | 77% | 9% | +13.5 | -3.5 | +8.8 | -18.8 |