Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +44.8 | -14.2 | -16.0 | -14.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 61% | 13% | 12% | 14% | -4.1 | -6.5 | -7.1 | +17.7 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 56% | 11% | 10% | 23% | -18.1 | +48.8 | -10.9 | -19.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 43% | 8% | 13% | -6.8 | +2.1 | +0.8 | +3.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 31% | 46% | 8% | 15% | +0.8 | -0.2 | +3.3 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 33% | 46% | 8% | 13% | +0.3 | -0.5 | -4.0 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 46% | 7% | 15% | -8.1 | -5.6 | +34.4 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 43% | 22% | 7% | -13.4 | -1.9 | -5.0 | +20.2 |
| South 2 | Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 18% | 44% | 21% | 16% | -29.0 | -0.4 | -3.1 | +32.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 4% | 40% | 17% | 38% | +2.2 | -5.2 | +49.0 | -46.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 25% | 66% | 7% | +3.1 | -10.7 | +6.0 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 15% | 75% | 7% | +2.6 | +6.7 | -1.6 | -7.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 17% | 76% | 6% | -18.1 | -1.8 | -1.1 | +20.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 13% | 77% | 10% | +13.5 | -2.6 | +9.0 | -20.0 |