Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Table B Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 27% | -20.2 | -9.1 | -7.2 | +36.4 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Maki Asami | 11% | 16% | 16% | 56% | -0.3 | -6.4 | -0.1 | +6.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 11% | 15% | 64% | -1.4 | -1.7 | +6.7 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Mari Takamiya | 10% | 11% | 20% | 59% | -4.2 | +0.2 | -5.3 | +9.3 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 9% | 13% | 71% | -8.2 | -6.7 | -7.3 | +22.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 2% | 3% | 5% | 91% | -2.1 | +2.4 | +0.6 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 2% | 3% | 3% | 93% | -21.9 | +21.3 | -0.2 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 0% | 4% | 3% | 93% | +16.1 | -19.6 | +2.7 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -9.8 | -15.0 | +36.0 | -11.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 83% | -6.0 | -6.5 | +46.0 | -33.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 85% | 15% | -3.2 | +1.4 | -5.1 | +6.9 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | -3.5 | +4.0 | +11.9 | -12.4 |