Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/25 Table B Game 1

Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 18,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +44.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Takeuchi Genta● Takamiya Mari● Asami Maki● Honda Tomohiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takeuchi● Takamiya● Asami● Honda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
East 1Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,00025%23%24%28%-20.8-3.3-9.4+33.5
East 2Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Asami Maki11%19%16%54%+0.3-9.4-0.5+9.5
East 3Draw10%11%14%65%-1.9-2.1+7.3-3.3
East 3, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari10%11%18%62%-3.7-0.4-4.1+8.1
East 4Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,0007%9%13%71%-7.2-6.4-8.1+21.6
East 4, 1 honbaAsami Maki ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari2%3%4%91%-2.8+2.5+0.5-0.2
South 1Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari2%3%3%93%-22.0+20.7+0.4+0.9
South 2Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Asami Maki0%4%3%93%+15.6-19.4+2.9+1.0
South 3Takeuchi Genta tsumo 18,0000%0%3%97%-9.8-14.3+35.9-11.8
South 3, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 18,0000%0%17%83%-5.9-6.8+44.9-32.3
South 3, 2 honbaHonda Tomohiro tsumo 4,0000%0%83%17%-3.2+1.3-4.3+6.2
South 4Takeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro0%0%79%21%-3.4+4.2+11.7-12.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)