Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Table B Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +48.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -2.8 | +6.1 | +0.6 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 29% | 25% | 25% | -6.0 | -13.9 | +21.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 18% | 42% | 23% | +9.8 | -3.2 | -1.8 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 16% | 40% | 20% | -2.7 | -3.3 | +4.9 | +1.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 14% | 44% | 20% | -7.7 | -6.6 | -6.1 | +20.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 12% | 39% | 33% | -6.5 | +25.8 | -4.8 | -14.6 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 28% | 34% | 23% | +41.1 | -12.2 | -17.4 | -11.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 18% | 21% | 15% | +4.5 | +3.4 | -2.7 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 18% | 19% | 13% | -14.2 | +29.8 | -8.4 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 32% | 45% | 13% | 9% | -14.4 | -30.6 | -18.7 | +63.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Futoshi Watanabe | 17% | 13% | 6% | 64% | -6.1 | +19.6 | -17.0 | +3.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 10% | 21% | 0% | 69% | -15.2 | -2.6 | +1.4 | +16.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 1% | 8% | 0% | 91% | +0.2 | -0.3 | -2.4 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 94% | -2.4 | +48.0 | -3.0 | -42.6 |