Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/25 Table B Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +47.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -7.0 | +8.3 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 30% | 24% | 26% | -2.7 | -14.4 | +24.5 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 18% | 43% | 20% | +8.2 | -3.2 | -3.2 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 17% | 39% | 20% | -4.8 | -2.5 | +4.8 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 15% | 45% | 21% | -5.6 | -7.4 | -8.2 | +21.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 12% | 36% | 36% | -6.2 | +25.3 | -2.1 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 27% | 35% | 24% | +39.0 | -12.2 | -17.0 | -9.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 44% | 19% | 21% | 17% | +6.3 | +4.7 | -6.0 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 20% | 16% | 14% | -15.2 | +28.9 | -6.1 | -7.6 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 32% | 45% | 14% | 9% | -13.0 | -31.1 | -18.2 | +62.3 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Watanabe Futoshi | 18% | 12% | 7% | 63% | -7.2 | +20.3 | -17.2 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 6,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 10% | 22% | 0% | 69% | -15.1 | -3.5 | +1.5 | +17.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 1% | 7% | 0% | 92% | +0.3 | +0.2 | -2.2 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 92% | -2.1 | +47.8 | -3.4 | -42.4 |