Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Nagai Kosuke tsumo 16,000, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +56.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -8.5 | -2.3 | +10.6 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 20% | 23% | 32% | 25% | -2.0 | -1.6 | +3.9 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 21% | 35% | 26% | -2.7 | +4.5 | -4.3 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 16% | 24% | 32% | 28% | +14.9 | +0.7 | +0.9 | -16.5 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 28% | 23% | 33% | 17% | -29.1 | -3.7 | +2.3 | +30.5 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 20% | 35% | 37% | -12.7 | +45.3 | -16.8 | -15.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 65% | 16% | 18% | +39.3 | -15.5 | -12.7 | -11.1 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 16,000 | 20% | 50% | 14% | 16% | +56.1 | -21.2 | -26.2 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 5,200 | 90% | 4% | 0% | 5% | +9.2 | +1.4 | -5.2 | -5.4 |