Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +14.5 | -4.6 | -5.4 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 36% | 21% | 22% | 21% | -2.3 | -19.0 | +21.3 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 12% | 36% | 20% | +33.1 | -16.9 | -8.6 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 62% | 3% | 22% | 13% | -19.1 | -10.3 | +40.7 | -11.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 33% | 1% | 60% | 6% | +11.5 | +1.9 | -2.3 | -11.0 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 42% | 1% | 54% | 4% | -11.5 | -11.7 | -12.7 | +35.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 37% | 1% | 45% | 18% | -22.4 | +12.4 | +9.5 | +0.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 3% | 62% | 18% | +31.8 | -5.0 | -15.0 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 2% | 39% | 10% | -7.9 | +13.6 | -0.3 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 44% | 3% | 42% | 10% | -6.6 | +0.1 | +23.8 | -17.3 |
| South 3 | Shimoishi Geki ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 0% | 73% | 4% | -2.0 | +5.0 | +3.1 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 0% | 83% | 2% | +43.4 | +5.1 | -34.2 | -14.2 |