Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +15.1 | -2.4 | -6.6 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 37% | 22% | 20% | 20% | -3.2 | -21.1 | +23.5 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 12% | 35% | 21% | +31.7 | -15.2 | -10.7 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 62% | 4% | 21% | 13% | -20.5 | -10.3 | +44.1 | -13.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 29% | 2% | 63% | 6% | +12.1 | +2.4 | -4.0 | -10.5 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 41% | 2% | 55% | 3% | -10.7 | -13.2 | -12.5 | +36.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 36% | 1% | 46% | 18% | -22.2 | +12.7 | +9.6 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 2% | 63% | 17% | +33.3 | -5.9 | -15.8 | -11.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 1% | 38% | 11% | -9.7 | +14.8 | -1.0 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 44% | 4% | 41% | 11% | -6.4 | -1.1 | +24.8 | -17.3 |
| South 3 | Geki Shimoishi ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 23% | 0% | 73% | 4% | -1.0 | +6.4 | +2.3 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 0% | 81% | 2% | +42.3 | +4.8 | -33.5 | -13.6 |