Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Table B Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +56.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -10.7 | +0.4 | +9.3 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 24% | 33% | 26% | -3.9 | +3.1 | +4.8 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 14% | 27% | 37% | 23% | -18.4 | -2.5 | +21.4 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 19% | 55% | 19% | -9.0 | +0.2 | -9.6 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi | 3% | 21% | 44% | 32% | +2.5 | -5.2 | +0.5 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 6% | 17% | 44% | 34% | +9.5 | -11.6 | +4.8 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 11% | 52% | 31% | +6.0 | -1.8 | -3.1 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 12% | 48% | 31% | -14.7 | +16.9 | +0.4 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 20% | 50% | 28% | -11.3 | +56.3 | -26.0 | -19.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 1% | 79% | 12% | 9% | +6.4 | +2.2 | +3.0 | -11.6 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 86% | 10% | 4% | +11.7 | +2.9 | -8.3 | -6.3 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,500 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -1.1 | -0.6 | -2.9 | +4.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 94% | 1% | 4% | -11.2 | +2.7 | +9.5 | -1.1 |