Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Table B Game 2
Shota Akutsu finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000, which moved Shota Akutsu's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -1.8 | +0.9 | +10.5 | -9.7 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 32% | 21% | +35.3 | -17.9 | -9.3 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 52% | 11% | 21% | 15% | +7.2 | -2.4 | -3.5 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 60% | 10% | 17% | 12% | +2.9 | -1.0 | +7.8 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 9% | 21% | 7% | +1.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | +4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Sayaka Kayamori | 66% | 8% | 18% | 8% | +1.6 | +20.3 | -18.9 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 71% | 14% | 9% | 6% | -1.5 | +6.9 | -2.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 70% | 17% | 8% | 6% | -9.6 | +32.3 | +0.5 | -23.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 46% | 46% | 6% | 1% | +15.4 | -8.0 | -8.1 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 69% | 28% | 2% | 1% | +14.6 | -5.6 | -9.4 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 10% | 0% | 0% | -4.7 | +5.1 | -2.1 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 2,000 | 81% | 18% | 0% | 1% | +11.6 | -8.2 | +5.5 | -8.9 |