Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/26 Table B Game 2
Akutsu Shota finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000, which moved Akutsu Shota's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -1.7 | +1.8 | +11.4 | -11.5 |
| East 2 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 26% | 33% | 19% | +34.4 | -20.2 | -7.8 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 52% | 10% | 24% | 14% | +8.0 | -1.9 | -6.5 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 61% | 10% | 16% | 13% | +2.2 | +0.3 | +7.9 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 64% | 8% | 21% | 7% | +1.6 | -3.4 | -2.3 | +4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 66% | 7% | 19% | 8% | +0.9 | +20.2 | -20.9 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 70% | 13% | 9% | 8% | -1.6 | +7.7 | -1.2 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 68% | 18% | 8% | 6% | -8.7 | +31.2 | +0.8 | -23.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 47% | 45% | 6% | 2% | +13.6 | -6.1 | -8.0 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 66% | 30% | 3% | 1% | +15.5 | -6.3 | -9.0 | -0.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 89% | 11% | 0% | 1% | -4.5 | +4.8 | -3.0 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,000 | 81% | 18% | 0% | 1% | +11.9 | -8.4 | +5.9 | -9.4 |