Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/6 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -24.2 | -0.2 | +2.1 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 11% | 23% | 23% | 42% | +3.9 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 22% | 23% | 42% | -6.6 | -3.8 | -10.2 | +20.6 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 16% | 14% | 62% | -1.6 | -1.5 | -3.8 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 13% | 10% | 71% | -2.8 | +4.2 | -2.9 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 14% | 9% | 71% | +27.9 | -10.1 | -7.8 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 13% | 8% | 62% | -12.4 | -4.4 | -4.8 | +21.6 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 89% | -6.7 | -16.7 | +24.1 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 7% | 92% | +2.8 | -7.2 | +4.2 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | -29.3 | +9.8 | +2.9 | +16.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.7 | +1.7 | -2.7 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.8 | +7.1 | +3.7 | -5.1 |