Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/6 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -24.3 | 0.0 | -0.2 | +24.5 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 10% | 23% | 23% | 45% | +4.0 | -2.5 | +0.9 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 20% | 24% | 43% | -3.0 | -2.8 | -11.8 | +17.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 3,000 | 9% | 17% | 14% | 61% | -3.4 | -1.9 | -1.8 | +7.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 14% | 11% | 68% | -1.5 | +3.8 | -4.9 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 14% | 8% | 71% | +25.1 | -9.0 | -5.9 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 12% | 9% | 63% | -12.8 | -3.7 | -3.9 | +20.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 4% | 88% | -6.3 | -16.6 | +22.2 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 6% | 92% | +4.2 | -7.5 | +3.1 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | -30.2 | +9.4 | +4.3 | +16.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.0 | +2.4 | -2.7 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.4 | +6.5 | +3.5 | -4.6 |