Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/7 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +14.8 | -6.9 | -5.4 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 5,200 from Asami Maki | 36% | 21% | 21% | 22% | -0.6 | +1.1 | -15.6 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki ron 5,200 from Nagai Kosuke | 37% | 20% | 12% | 31% | +1.7 | -3.6 | +18.1 | -16.1 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 18% | 22% | 22% | -13.3 | -8.9 | +32.8 | -10.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 24% | 13% | 49% | 14% | +26.4 | +0.6 | -25.7 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 13% | 24% | 13% | -7.3 | -8.1 | +30.4 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 36% | 7% | 51% | 5% | -2.7 | -6.7 | +8.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 1,500 | 30% | 4% | 61% | 4% | -1.2 | -5.2 | +7.8 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 22% | 0% | 74% | 4% | -3.5 | -8.7 | +8.5 | +3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 0% | 84% | 3% | -2.7 | +19.7 | -3.6 | -13.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 10% | 0% | 89% | 2% | +7.6 | +0.1 | -9.7 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 25% | 1% | 71% | 3% | +41.5 | +3.5 | -27.9 | -17.0 |