Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/7 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +43.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +17.4 | -6.8 | -3.8 | -6.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 5,200 from Maki Asami | 38% | 20% | 23% | 20% | -2.6 | +1.1 | -14.5 | +15.9 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 5,200 from Kosuke Nagai | 34% | 20% | 15% | 30% | +3.0 | -2.1 | +14.3 | -15.1 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 18% | 22% | 21% | -12.6 | -10.1 | +33.1 | -10.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 25% | 12% | 48% | 15% | +24.5 | -0.6 | -24.0 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 11% | 25% | 14% | -6.6 | -7.7 | +30.0 | -15.7 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 36% | 7% | 52% | 5% | -3.0 | -5.3 | +9.0 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 1,500 | 28% | 4% | 63% | 5% | -0.5 | -7.3 | +6.4 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 23% | 0% | 73% | 4% | -3.2 | -6.0 | +8.2 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 0% | 83% | 3% | -3.9 | +18.6 | -2.8 | -11.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 0% | 89% | 2% | +6.4 | +0.6 | -8.7 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 22% | 0% | 74% | 4% | +43.6 | +3.0 | -28.9 | -17.7 |