Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/9 Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+90.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -23.3 | -1.4 | +0.4 | +24.2 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 16,000 | 12% | 22% | 23% | 43% | -7.3 | -22.9 | -9.5 | +39.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 4% | 5% | 9% | 82% | -1.1 | -1.6 | +3.9 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 4% | 4% | 11% | 81% | +13.1 | -11.5 | -3.6 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 2% | 7% | 86% | -0.1 | -1.8 | +2.2 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,200 from Shimoishi Geki | 5% | 2% | 7% | 86% | -19.4 | +14.5 | +2.5 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 3% | 5% | 92% | +5.7 | -20.4 | +3.4 | +11.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +5.3 | -3.5 | -1.9 | +0.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.0 | -4.9 | -3.8 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.1 | -15.3 | +17.4 | -1.0 |