Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/9 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -2.2 | -12.0 | -1.6 | +15.8 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 17% | 23% | 39% | -7.2 | -16.9 | +32.1 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki ron 1,300 from Nakada Kana | 15% | 7% | 49% | 29% | 0.0 | +0.4 | -2.6 | +2.1 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 8% | 47% | 30% | +0.3 | -8.3 | +12.0 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 13% | 4% | 59% | 23% | +7.3 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 4% | 55% | 22% | -5.9 | +2.4 | +2.2 | +1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 5% | 59% | 23% | -4.1 | -11.4 | +21.1 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 0% | 88% | 9% | -2.9 | +6.4 | -7.0 | +3.5 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 0% | 86% | 12% | -3.7 | -5.8 | +8.8 | +0.7 |