Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/10 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.6 | +7.4 | -0.2 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Asami Maki | 18% | 30% | 26% | 26% | +0.2 | +16.9 | -17.5 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 43% | 14% | 26% | -1.8 | +5.5 | -1.4 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 1,300 from Asami Maki | 16% | 47% | 13% | 23% | -0.4 | -1.1 | -5.2 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 16% | 47% | 11% | 26% | +27.4 | -25.0 | -4.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 37% | 24% | 9% | 30% | +4.4 | -4.1 | -2.8 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 41% | 21% | 8% | 30% | +9.7 | -0.3 | -3.7 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 51% | 20% | 6% | 24% | -29.0 | +49.2 | -8.2 | -12.1 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 72% | 3% | 11% | +40.9 | -26.0 | -6.5 | -8.4 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 7,800 | 64% | 28% | 2% | 7% | -6.6 | -1.6 | +16.8 | -8.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 58% | 31% | 5% | 6% | +2.0 | -6.4 | +3.4 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 62% | 24% | 6% | 8% | -13.6 | +26.6 | -10.7 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Asami Maki | 31% | 64% | 0% | 5% | -10.6 | +18.0 | -7.6 | +0.2 |