Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/10 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +60.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -2.1 | -20.9 | -0.2 | +23.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 12% | 23% | 44% | -2.4 | +6.2 | +0.2 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 16% | 24% | 40% | -0.7 | -7.1 | -4.5 | +12.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 10% | 20% | 52% | +24.3 | -5.9 | -13.6 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 37% | 8% | 11% | 44% | +6.7 | +3.0 | -4.2 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 44% | 8% | 9% | 39% | +2.2 | +4.4 | -2.0 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 48% | 10% | 9% | 34% | +4.5 | -16.8 | +9.9 | +2.4 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 56% | 2% | 10% | 32% | -45.8 | +0.1 | +46.1 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 12% | 3% | 51% | 35% | -8.3 | +33.0 | +9.2 | -33.9 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 9% | 73% | 13% | -1.1 | +60.8 | -30.1 | -29.6 |