Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/10 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +60.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -3.4 | -19.9 | -0.2 | +23.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 14% | 23% | 42% | +1.1 | +5.0 | -1.8 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 17% | 22% | 39% | -4.4 | -5.6 | -3.0 | +13.0 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 11% | 20% | 51% | +28.3 | -9.2 | -14.9 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 7% | 10% | 44% | +4.0 | +5.1 | -3.0 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 45% | 8% | 9% | 38% | +2.1 | +3.5 | -3.2 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 48% | 10% | 8% | 35% | +5.6 | -16.6 | +10.2 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 56% | 2% | 10% | 32% | -47.7 | -0.8 | +47.3 | +1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 10% | 2% | 51% | 37% | -7.4 | +34.1 | +8.9 | -35.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 9% | 73% | 13% | -1.0 | +60.4 | -30.0 | -29.4 |