Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/13 Game 1
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +4.9 | +0.6 | -6.1 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% | -24.3 | -1.6 | +25.7 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 12% | 24% | 38% | 27% | -25.5 | +30.7 | -4.8 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 45% | 29% | 22% | -4.9 | +1.7 | +2.5 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 44% | 31% | 22% | -0.4 | -4.8 | -1.5 | +6.7 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 40% | 29% | 28% | -6.1 | -14.3 | +33.0 | -12.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 22% | 62% | 14% | +2.5 | -0.8 | -3.2 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 22% | 60% | 17% | -2.3 | +17.0 | -2.1 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,400 | 1% | 36% | 56% | 7% | -6.7 | -10.7 | +19.0 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 16% | 80% | 4% | -1.8 | +3.8 | -2.9 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 20% | 76% | 5% | -3.4 | +25.6 | -16.3 | -6.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 52% | 45% | 3% | -1.4 | -4.0 | -0.8 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 52% | 44% | 4% | -1.0 | +5.5 | -6.3 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 61% | 34% | 5% | +2.9 | +16.1 | -12.7 | -6.2 |