Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/13 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +2.6 | +1.6 | -10.9 | +6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 27% | 25% | 19% | 29% | -22.2 | 0.0 | +24.8 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 12% | 25% | 36% | 27% | -25.8 | +28.4 | -1.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 44% | 32% | 22% | -6.1 | +2.1 | +2.4 | +1.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 44% | 31% | 22% | +0.3 | -4.0 | -3.3 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 42% | 29% | 26% | -7.2 | -16.1 | +33.6 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 22% | 61% | 16% | +4.6 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 21% | 61% | 16% | -3.8 | +16.1 | -1.7 | -10.6 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,400 | 1% | 34% | 57% | 8% | -6.4 | -9.0 | +17.8 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 16% | 80% | 5% | -1.6 | +3.5 | -3.4 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 20% | 75% | 6% | -3.7 | +24.5 | -14.3 | -6.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 51% | 46% | 3% | -1.4 | -2.9 | -1.2 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 50% | 46% | 3% | -1.0 | +6.6 | -8.1 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 62% | 33% | 5% | +3.1 | +15.2 | -12.1 | -6.1 |