Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/13 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 16,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +54.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.5 | +10.2 | -0.8 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 32% | 24% | 20% | +3.7 | -8.3 | +2.5 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 28% | 22% | -7.8 | +27.8 | -15.2 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 18% | 51% | 15% | 16% | +3.3 | +3.0 | +3.8 | -10.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 20% | 54% | 16% | 11% | +12.7 | -2.2 | -9.8 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 27% | 50% | 11% | 11% | -3.5 | +1.3 | -3.9 | +6.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 16,000 from Nakada Kana | 24% | 53% | 10% | 13% | +54.8 | -17.3 | +1.2 | -38.7 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 86% | 10% | 3% | 1% | +6.5 | +0.5 | -6.1 | -0.9 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 95% | 4% | 0% | 0% | +6.7 | -1.9 | +1.6 | -6.4 |