Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/14 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Honda Tomohiro ron 9,600 from Date Arisa, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -11.6 | -4.0 | -6.2 | +21.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 17% | 22% | 20% | 41% | -1.4 | +30.1 | -27.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 41% | 8% | 37% | -2.1 | -5.3 | +8.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 14% | 37% | 12% | 37% | -0.9 | +24.5 | -2.4 | -21.2 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 10% | 65% | 8% | 17% | -14.6 | -2.4 | -1.9 | +18.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 59% | 5% | 30% | +18.5 | -18.3 | +0.1 | -0.3 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 42% | 8% | 35% | -3.2 | +2.9 | +4.3 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 12% | 47% | 10% | 32% | +5.0 | -3.3 | -1.8 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 15% | 44% | 10% | 31% | +9.7 | +10.7 | -14.5 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 9,600 from Date Arisa | 16% | 63% | 1% | 21% | -10.0 | -21.1 | -13.2 | +44.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 5% | 13% | 0% | 82% | +23.9 | -22.1 | -8.1 | +6.3 |