Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/14 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Tomohiro Honda ron 9,600 from Arisa Date, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -11.8 | -5.0 | -5.6 | +22.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 15% | 22% | 20% | 44% | -0.2 | +29.3 | -26.5 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 41% | 8% | 37% | -1.7 | -5.6 | +8.1 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 14% | 37% | 11% | 38% | -1.2 | +24.7 | -2.7 | -20.7 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Rio Tojyo | 10% | 64% | 6% | 19% | -15.4 | -1.7 | +0.1 | +17.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 60% | 7% | 28% | +18.3 | -18.1 | -1.7 | +1.6 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 14% | 43% | 8% | 35% | -1.6 | +1.8 | +4.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 46% | 10% | 31% | +3.8 | -0.6 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 14% | 47% | 9% | 30% | +10.5 | +8.4 | -14.1 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 9,600 from Arisa Date | 16% | 62% | 1% | 21% | -10.0 | -21.3 | -12.6 | +44.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 5% | 13% | 0% | 82% | +23.9 | -22.0 | -8.1 | +6.2 |