Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Semifinals

4/16 Game 1

Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +24.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takeuchi Genta● Takizawa Kazunori● Nakada Kana● Setokuma Naoki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takeuchi● Takizawa● Nakada● Setokuma
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
East 1Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki26%25%24%26%-1.0+5.2+0.6-4.8
East 2Draw23%29%25%23%-3.0+4.4-3.1+1.7
East 2, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori22%31%23%25%+9.8-9.2-1.3+0.7
East 3Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana29%24%22%25%-3.10.0-31.5+34.6
East 4Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori22%20%6%52%+1.4-21.7+18.3+2.0
South 1Nakada Kana tsumo 5,20022%10%11%57%-8.8-7.2+16.5-0.5
South 2Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori16%7%19%58%+24.9-21.8-3.7+0.6
South 3Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana32%1%13%55%+22.70.0-13.9-8.8
South 4Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana69%0%1%30%+16.9-0.9-3.7-12.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)