Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series

4/16 Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +25.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Genta Takeuchi● Kazunori Takizawa● Kana Nakada● Naoki Setokuma0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Kazunori● Kana● Naoki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Kana Nakada
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Kana Nakada
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma24%24%26%26%-1.1+6.6-1.0-4.4
East 2Exhaustive draw24%29%23%23%-4.9+3.9-1.7+2.7
East 2, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa20%32%23%24%+10.5-11.6-1.4+2.5
East 3Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada27%24%23%26%+0.9-0.7-31.8+31.6
East 4Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa25%18%6%52%-0.2-19.9+18.8+1.3
South 1Kana Nakada tsumo 5,20025%10%11%54%-9.7-6.1+16.2-0.4
South 2Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa16%8%20%57%+25.8-21.8-3.5-0.5
South 3Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada35%0%14%51%+22.4-0.7-15.0-6.7
South 4Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada70%0%1%29%+16.2-0.8-3.3-12.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)