Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/16 Game 2
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+65.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 18,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -6.1 | +5.6 | +2.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 29% | 26% | 25% | -12.4 | +44.5 | -16.5 | -15.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Takaki Asai | 10% | 68% | 12% | 11% | +6.8 | +1.1 | -3.4 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,500 | 12% | 69% | 9% | 10% | +3.0 | +2.1 | -4.1 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 75% | 6% | 8% | -3.6 | +20.8 | -4.2 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 93% | 2% | 1% | -3.3 | +0.4 | +7.7 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 1% | 96% | 2% | 1% | +20.5 | -12.1 | -5.0 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 89% | 3% | 1% | +4.4 | +2.0 | -3.8 | -2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 5% | 94% | 0% | 1% | +2.1 | +1.1 | +3.6 | -6.8 |