Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/17 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -0.2 | -1.2 | -1.7 | +3.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +0.1 | -2.6 | +14.7 | -12.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 24% | 22% | 34% | 20% | -3.0 | -1.5 | +5.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 20% | 40% | 18% | -2.3 | +7.9 | -5.4 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 19% | 25% | 35% | 20% | +21.8 | -19.8 | +3.3 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 1,100 | 35% | 13% | 37% | 14% | -1.3 | -2.9 | -0.6 | +4.8 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 34% | 12% | 37% | 17% | +0.1 | -16.1 | +17.4 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 29% | 3% | 55% | 13% | -25.1 | +2.2 | +24.6 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 3% | 1% | 90% | 7% | +15.3 | +3.5 | +0.9 | -19.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 94% | 3% | -3.1 | -0.3 | -2.4 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 4% | 1% | 91% | 5% | +3.9 | +8.8 | +4.2 | -16.9 |