Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/20 Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +4.3 | -3.1 | +3.5 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 22% | 27% | 23% | -15.2 | -9.0 | -6.1 | +30.3 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 16% | 16% | 21% | 46% | +14.3 | -14.2 | -1.2 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Nagai Kosuke ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 24% | 9% | 20% | 47% | -3.5 | -1.9 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 8% | 17% | 55% | +22.8 | -4.1 | -6.0 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 8% | 14% | 39% | -8.5 | -8.0 | +18.3 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 5% | 26% | 38% | -7.6 | -11.5 | -8.9 | +28.0 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 0% | 13% | 74% | -2.7 | +14.6 | -17.7 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 8% | 1% | 2% | 89% | -17.6 | -18.4 | +32.8 | +3.2 |