Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/20 Game 1
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -0.6 | +0.4 | +2.7 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -11.2 | -12.6 | -7.4 | +31.2 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 16% | 16% | 21% | 47% | +14.5 | -14.5 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 25% | 9% | 21% | 46% | -5.6 | -0.5 | -3.4 | +9.6 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 7% | 16% | 57% | +21.7 | -5.4 | -3.4 | -12.9 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 5,200 | 38% | 6% | 14% | 42% | -7.5 | -6.3 | +16.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 5% | 24% | 40% | -8.1 | -12.0 | -8.0 | +28.1 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 0% | 12% | 74% | -0.8 | +14.4 | -17.7 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 9% | 1% | 3% | 88% | -18.4 | -18.1 | +32.5 | +4.0 |