Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/21 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+81.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 3,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +7.3 | -2.9 | -1.7 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Kana Nakada | 32% | 23% | 23% | 22% | -2.8 | +17.7 | -1.7 | -13.3 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 35% | 21% | 16% | -1.8 | -6.2 | -2.3 | +10.3 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 27% | 32% | 20% | 21% | -33.7 | -0.6 | -5.2 | +39.6 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 26% | 14% | 53% | +1.9 | -30.8 | +1.4 | +27.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 5% | 5% | 9% | 82% | +11.1 | -1.8 | +1.1 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 6% | 12% | 72% | -6.3 | -4.9 | +3.5 | +7.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 16,000 | 2% | 4% | 10% | 84% | -3.0 | -15.9 | -4.2 | +23.1 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +1.2 | -3.9 | +1.6 | +1.0 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -35.1 | +49.2 | -13.2 | -0.9 |