Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/21 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+81.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +35.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +8.3 | -3.4 | -2.4 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 29% | 24% | 23% | 24% | -1.4 | +17.1 | -0.4 | -15.3 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 35% | 22% | 15% | -2.5 | -7.7 | -3.4 | +13.6 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 26% | 30% | 21% | 23% | -32.8 | +1.5 | -4.3 | +35.5 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 8% | 27% | 15% | 50% | +2.1 | -30.2 | +0.6 | +27.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 5% | 6% | 10% | 80% | +11.2 | -4.4 | +1.2 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 6% | 12% | 74% | -7.0 | -3.4 | +4.9 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 16,000 | 2% | 5% | 10% | 82% | -1.6 | -17.7 | -4.1 | +23.4 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -0.7 | -2.3 | +0.6 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -34.3 | +48.9 | -13.5 | -1.0 |