Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/23 Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 36,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +70.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 48,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +90.6 | -81.3 | -3.6 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 91% | 0% | 4% | 4% | -2.7 | +5.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 92% | 0% | 4% | 4% | -4.1 | -5.6 | -4.0 | +13.7 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 89% | 0% | 5% | 7% | +2.4 | -0.2 | -5.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 36,000 | 92% | 0% | 1% | 7% | -41.1 | -12.0 | -17.7 | +70.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 0% | 0% | 77% | -1.2 | +2.5 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,100 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 79% | -4.9 | -1.8 | +0.6 | +6.0 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 88% | -3.6 | +14.5 | -6.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 12% | 0% | 1% | 87% | -1.7 | -3.2 | +0.6 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 0% | 0% | 94% | +1.8 | -1.0 | -1.3 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -2.2 | +9.4 | +0.7 | -7.9 |