Game · 2025-26 Semifinals

4/24 Game 1

Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 18,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +56.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change	Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change	Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change
East 1	Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato	26%	27%	24%	24%	-3.1	+9.8	-10.5	+3.9
East 2	Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato	22%	33%	18%	27%	+0.1	+16.0	-14.5	-1.6
East 2, 1 honba	Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro	20%	46%	11%	23%	+12.5	-11.5	-1.2	+0.2
East 3	Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato	31%	35%	10%	24%	+1.2	+4.4	-5.4	-0.1
East 4	Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato	30%	38%	8%	24%	-1.5	-0.3	-9.6	+11.3
East 4, 1 honba	Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta	28%	37%	5%	31%	+0.8	+20.0	+0.3	-21.1
South 1	Draw	24%	59%	4%	13%	-3.9	+1.2	+4.9	-2.3
South 2, 1 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro	20%	63%	5%	12%	+3.6	-27.9	-2.8	+27.1
South 3	Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato	29%	31%	5%	36%	-1.3	+13.7	-9.1	-3.4
South 4	Takeuchi Genta tsumo 18,000	26%	49%	0%	25%	-20.5	-29.2	-6.5	+56.1
South 4, 1 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro	0%	1%	0%	99%	-6.1	+2.2	-0.5	+4.4
South 4, 2 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 4,800 from Suzuki Taro	0%	0%	0%	100%	-8.3	+2.3	-0.4	+6.5
South 4, 3 honba	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000	0%	0%	0%	100%	-23.0	+0.5	+28.0	-5.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)