Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series

4/24 Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +54.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 4End● Genta Takeuchi● Taro Suzuki● Tomohiro Honda● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Genta● Taro● Tomohiro● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTaro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki25%26%23%26%-0.9+9.3-8.7+0.3
East 2Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki24%31%19%26%-1.5+16.6-16.0+0.9
East 2, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda21%44%10%25%+13.7-9.3-1.1-3.3
East 3Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki31%36%11%23%-0.5+4.1-5.7+2.1
East 4Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki30%39%6%24%+0.4-2.6-7.2+9.4
East 4, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi30%36%5%29%-1.5+22.3-1.2-19.6
South 1Exhaustive draw25%60%3%12%-4.5+1.9+4.0-1.4
South 2, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda18%65%4%12%+3.1-28.0-2.2+27.1
South 3Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki27%32%5%36%-0.6+12.1-8.6-2.9
South 4Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,00023%49%1%27%-19.4-29.2-6.2+54.7
South 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki0%1%0%99%-5.8+2.1-0.8+4.5
South 4, 2 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 4,800 from Taro Suzuki0%0%0%100%-9.3+3.3-0.1+6.1
South 4, 3 honbaHisato Sasaki tsumo 8,0000%0%0%100%-22.1-0.4+27.6-5.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)