Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/24 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +20.0 | -7.5 | -5.4 | -7.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 39% | 20% | 20% | 21% | -0.8 | -0.2 | -15.8 | +16.8 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 19% | 12% | 30% | -3.2 | -17.3 | +23.6 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 36% | 11% | 25% | 28% | -2.0 | +0.8 | -3.6 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 35% | 11% | 22% | 32% | -2.6 | -19.3 | -2.2 | +24.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 28% | 4% | 16% | 52% | -2.6 | -1.4 | -1.9 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 25% | 3% | 15% | 58% | -3.1 | +2.8 | -2.5 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 4% | 13% | 61% | -6.1 | -3.1 | -6.0 | +15.2 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 13% | 2% | 8% | 78% | -1.5 | -2.5 | +42.1 | -38.1 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 3% | 44% | 35% | +24.7 | -0.7 | -23.5 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 3% | 21% | 36% | +32.4 | -4.8 | -13.3 | -14.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 76% | 1% | 8% | 15% | -4.4 | +0.6 | -16.6 | +20.4 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 68% | 1% | 3% | 28% | +11.6 | -1.7 | -7.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 83% | 0% | 1% | 16% | -4.9 | +11.3 | -25.3 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 69% | 0% | 0% | 31% | -10.6 | -2.1 | +0.2 | +12.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 44% | 0% | 0% | 56% | -17.8 | +6.7 | -5.7 | +16.8 |