Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/24 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +21.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +19.9 | -5.6 | -8.7 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% | -1.9 | -0.9 | -12.6 | +15.5 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 19% | 14% | 29% | -1.2 | -14.7 | +22.4 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 11% | 25% | 25% | -1.7 | -2.9 | -5.6 | +10.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 36% | 11% | 19% | 34% | -4.6 | -18.3 | +1.1 | +21.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 4% | 18% | 51% | -1.0 | -1.2 | -3.2 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 3% | 15% | 56% | -3.9 | +2.2 | -3.4 | +5.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,900 | 23% | 4% | 12% | 61% | -6.3 | -2.7 | -4.8 | +13.9 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 13% | 3% | 8% | 77% | +0.2 | -1.8 | +39.1 | -37.5 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 7,700 from Hiroshi Daigo | 20% | 3% | 41% | 35% | +22.4 | -1.2 | -22.9 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 3% | 20% | 39% | +31.9 | -4.5 | -10.7 | -16.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 75% | 1% | 9% | 15% | -4.2 | -0.2 | -17.2 | +21.7 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 66% | 1% | 4% | 29% | +13.1 | -1.4 | -8.2 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 82% | 0% | 1% | 17% | -5.8 | +11.2 | -25.0 | +19.5 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,500 | 68% | 0% | 0% | 32% | -11.0 | -2.2 | 0.0 | +13.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 42% | 0% | 0% | 58% | -16.6 | +7.0 | -5.5 | +15.0 |