Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/27 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+48.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 5 honba: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +58.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -7.9 | +9.0 | +1.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 31% | 25% | 24% | +9.9 | -12.1 | +0.8 | +1.4 |
| East 3 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +10.6 | +0.2 | -6.3 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 36% | 22% | 20% | 22% | +0.1 | -1.4 | +8.6 | -7.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 22% | 28% | 17% | -11.8 | -7.0 | -7.9 | +26.7 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 18% | 21% | 37% | +21.1 | -3.7 | -15.9 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 43% | 12% | 12% | 32% | +0.4 | +1.7 | +11.0 | -13.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 44% | 14% | 18% | 24% | -3.4 | -3.2 | +9.7 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 40% | 14% | 23% | 23% | -4.5 | -2.1 | +8.2 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 34% | 14% | 28% | 24% | -2.9 | -12.2 | +18.7 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,900 | 30% | 5% | 48% | 17% | -7.3 | -4.5 | +17.2 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 2% | 70% | 11% | -16.0 | -10.5 | -31.9 | +58.5 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 0% | 17% | 75% | -28.3 | +29.8 | -5.1 | +3.6 |