Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/27 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+48.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 5 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +58.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.7 | +10.5 | +0.4 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 31% | 26% | 23% | +9.9 | -10.6 | +1.0 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 23% | 27% | 24% | +10.3 | -1.3 | -6.9 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 35% | 22% | 21% | 23% | +1.7 | +1.2 | +6.7 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 22% | 25% | 16% | -15.7 | -6.7 | -6.6 | +29.0 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 21% | 20% | 21% | 38% | +21.2 | -2.5 | -15.2 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 41% | 14% | 13% | 32% | +3.1 | -1.1 | +10.0 | -12.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 13% | 17% | 24% | -3.5 | -2.7 | +9.5 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 15% | 23% | 22% | -4.0 | -4.8 | +11.0 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 36% | 11% | 30% | 23% | -2.4 | -10.1 | +15.2 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 3,900 | 32% | 5% | 46% | 17% | -9.1 | -2.3 | +17.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 3% | 70% | 11% | -15.3 | -12.4 | -30.6 | +58.3 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 0% | 18% | 74% | -28.4 | +29.7 | -5.5 | +4.2 |