Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series
4/28 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +5.0 | -3.5 | +0.7 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 30% | 22% | 24% | 24% | -4.0 | +1.7 | -2.2 | +4.6 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 27% | 24% | 23% | 27% | +0.9 | -24.2 | +0.4 | +22.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 9% | 22% | 44% | -0.8 | +6.4 | -4.6 | -1.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 13% | 19% | 44% | +3.8 | +3.5 | -2.8 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 30% | 14% | 17% | 40% | +28.0 | -19.3 | -4.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 53% | 6% | 11% | 30% | -4.6 | -18.8 | +24.3 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 1% | 24% | 28% | -1.1 | +9.7 | -2.5 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 3% | 23% | 26% | -2.9 | +6.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 46% | 5% | 24% | 25% | +15.5 | -11.4 | -2.3 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 0% | 16% | 17% | -3.5 | -1.1 | +8.8 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 0% | 22% | 16% | +4.4 | -1.9 | +2.1 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 0% | 23% | 12% | -27.2 | -5.3 | +43.4 | -11.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 0% | 81% | 4% | -3.2 | -2.5 | -7.0 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 12% | 0% | 77% | 11% | -0.8 | +0.4 | +11.5 | -11.1 |