Game · 2025-26 Semifinals
4/28 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +6.0 | -2.8 | -1.3 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -2.8 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -0.3 | -24.2 | -0.3 | +24.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 10% | 23% | 44% | +0.5 | +7.1 | -6.0 | -1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 13% | 18% | 43% | +4.1 | +2.7 | -2.6 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 29% | 14% | 18% | 39% | +25.8 | -20.1 | -4.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 51% | 5% | 12% | 32% | -1.7 | -18.2 | +23.6 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 49% | 2% | 23% | 27% | -2.3 | +11.0 | -0.6 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 3% | 26% | 22% | -2.9 | +4.4 | -2.9 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 45% | 5% | 25% | 25% | +15.1 | -10.9 | -1.7 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 66% | 0% | 17% | 17% | -3.5 | -1.5 | +10.0 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 0% | 25% | 15% | +4.1 | -1.3 | +1.5 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 0% | 24% | 12% | -25.7 | -6.0 | +42.3 | -10.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 0% | 81% | 4% | -3.5 | -2.0 | -6.6 | +12.1 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 12% | 0% | 78% | 10% | -0.9 | +0.4 | +10.9 | -10.5 |