Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Semifinals

4/30 Game 1

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 48,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +103.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takizawa Kazunori● Nakada Kana● Uchikawa Kotaro● Watanabe Futoshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takizawa● Nakada● Uchikawa● Watanabe
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNakada Kana
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Watanabe Futoshi26%26%23%25%-3.1+17.3-11.7-2.5
East 2Nakada Kana tsumo 1,10023%38%17%23%+3.4-4.4-1.1+2.0
East 3Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,800 from Nakada Kana25%34%17%25%-18.6-2.0+19.6+0.9
East 3, 1 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori13%33%28%25%+1.4+14.7+0.3-16.3
East 4Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 48,00014%46%26%14%-28.9-38.0-36.6+103.5
East 4, 1 honbaDraw1%2%1%97%+2.9-0.7-0.5-1.6
South 1, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana0%1%0%98%-9.4+8.6+0.3+0.5
South 2Draw0%1%1%98%-1.1+4.3-2.3-1.0
South 2, 1 honbaDraw0%2%0%98%-0.5+3.7-2.2-0.9
South 2, 2 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori0%3%0%97%-6.1-8.0+27.5-13.4
South 3Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi0%1%3%96%-0.8+4.1-8.2+4.9
South 4Nakada Kana tsumo 8,0000%0%0%100%+8.0+2.6-5.5-5.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)