Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Semifinal Series

4/30 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 48,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +102.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Kana Nakada● Kotaro Uchikawa● Futoshi Watanabe0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Kana● Kotaro● Futoshi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKana Nakada
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Futoshi Watanabe
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Kana Nakada
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Futoshi Watanabe
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Futoshi Watanabe26%25%23%26%-7.5+17.1-10.7+1.0
East 2Kana Nakada tsumo 1,10019%36%18%27%+4.1-1.8-1.3-0.9
East 3Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,800 from Kana Nakada23%35%16%26%-17.6-2.7+21.6-1.3
East 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa13%31%30%26%+0.7+15.6-2.6-13.8
East 4Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 48,00013%46%25%16%-28.8-38.6-35.0+102.4
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%1%1%97%+4.2-0.9-0.7-2.6
South 1, 2 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada1%1%1%97%-9.5+9.5-0.8+0.8
South 2Exhaustive draw0%1%1%98%-1.4+3.9-2.1-0.4
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%1%0%98%-1.6+3.8-1.2-1.0
South 2, 2 honbaFutoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa0%3%0%97%-5.4-7.7+27.0-13.9
South 3Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe0%1%4%95%-0.3+4.1-8.8+5.1
South 4Kana Nakada tsumo 8,0000%0%0%100%+7.8+2.3-5.0-5.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)