Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/14 Game 1
Megumu Aikawa finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Megumu Aikawa ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Megumu Aikawa's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +10.1 | -1.0 | -8.8 | -0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 23% | 19% | 25% | -3.6 | +6.3 | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 30% | 28% | 19% | 23% | -0.8 | +1.3 | -12.3 | +11.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 28% | 12% | 32% | -3.6 | -1.8 | +6.4 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 27% | 16% | 31% | +1.2 | +5.2 | -5.7 | -0.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 28% | 31% | 11% | 31% | -20.2 | +1.0 | -4.9 | +24.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 12% | 29% | 7% | 52% | +15.7 | -1.7 | -12.7 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 26% | 4% | 50% | -8.8 | -3.5 | -5.0 | +17.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 18% | 2% | 72% | -4.3 | +5.5 | +2.5 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 22% | 3% | 67% | -4.2 | -10.8 | +11.3 | +3.7 |
| South 3 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 11% | 6% | 77% | -1.6 | +0.2 | -11.4 | +12.8 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 2% | 0% | 97% | -23.9 | +3.4 | +24.4 | -3.9 |