Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/14 Game 1
Aikawa Megumu finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Aikawa Megumu ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Aikawa Megumu's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +11.2 | -0.3 | -9.6 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 33% | 25% | 18% | 24% | -5.9 | +7.3 | -1.5 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 28% | 30% | 18% | 25% | +1.3 | -1.4 | -11.0 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 29% | 27% | 13% | 31% | -1.9 | -0.8 | +2.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 27% | 14% | 33% | -1.5 | +6.0 | -1.8 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 27% | 31% | 12% | 30% | -21.2 | +0.6 | -4.2 | +24.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 12% | 29% | 8% | 52% | +18.0 | -2.0 | -14.9 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 26% | 4% | 50% | -8.2 | -4.6 | -4.6 | +17.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 9% | 18% | 2% | 72% | -3.8 | +4.8 | +2.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 22% | 3% | 67% | -4.9 | -9.4 | +9.5 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 11% | 5% | 79% | -2.1 | +0.3 | -9.7 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 3% | 0% | 96% | -23.7 | +3.1 | +24.2 | -3.6 |