Season · 2026-27 · 132 games

The hand that decided each game

The hand whose result moved the expected final points the most is "the hand that decided the game". Follow a game's name for its 1st-place probability hand by hand.

The hand that swung a game most this season

+109.1

Regular Season 10/29 Game 1 · South 4, 1 honba · HIRO Shibata

2nd

+71.7

Regular Season 10/16 Table B Game 1 · South 2 · Wataru Shirinashihama

3rd

+67.4

Regular Season 10/23 Table B Game 2 · South 4, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa

Regular Season132 games

Game	The deciding hand	Player moved most	Expected pt change
9/14 Game 1	East 4, 2 honba · Megumu Aikawa ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa	Megumu Aikawa	+24.1
9/14 Game 2	East 2 · Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000	Koshin Asakura	+23.0
9/15 Game 1	South 4 · Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 18,000	Wataru Shirinashihama	+56.0
9/15 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000	Sayaka Kayamori	+36.9
9/17 Game 1	East 1, 2 honba · Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo	Tomohiro Honda	+30.0
9/17 Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Kazuma Ishii	+57.5
9/18 Game 1	East 4 · Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	Saki Kurosawa	+33.2
9/18 Game 2	South 3 · Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000	Shingo Hori	+44.8
9/21 Game 1	South 3 · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+50.5
9/21 Game 2	East 2, 2 honba · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000	Takaharu Ooi	+30.9
9/21 Table B Game 1	East 4, 3 honba · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000	Naoki Setokuma	+39.0
9/21 Table B Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000	Kenji Katsumata	+52.6
9/22 Game 1	East 3 · Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Sayaka Okada	+39.2
9/22 Game 2	East 2, 2 honba · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+33.1
9/22 Table B Game 1	South 1 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+41.8
9/22 Table B Game 2	East 2 · Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000	Kana Nakada	+30.7
9/24 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Rio Tojyo tsumo 24,000	Rio Tojyo	+30.7
9/24 Game 2	East 1, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata	Takaharu Ooi	+31.8
9/24 Table B Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki	Hisato Sasaki	+33.3
9/24 Table B Game 2	South 1 · Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda	Aki Nikaido	+32.3
9/25 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000	Koshin Asakura	+39.9
9/25 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+34.3
9/25 Table B Game 1	East 3, 1 honba · Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000	Shingo Hori	+27.7
9/25 Table B Game 2	South 2, 2 honba · Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii	Wataru Shirinashihama	+25.5
9/28 Game 1	South 4 · Sayaka Okada ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Miura	Sayaka Okada	+61.5
9/28 Game 2	South 2 · Hinako Sano tsumo 8,000	Hinako Sano	+31.9
9/28 Table B Game 1	South 1 · Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo	Kazunori Takizawa	+45.0
9/28 Table B Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada	Mari Takamiya	+58.8
9/29 Game 1	East 3 · Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000	Kosuke Nagai	+30.4
9/29 Game 2	East 2 · Kana Nakada ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa	Kana Nakada	+44.3
9/29 Table B Game 1	South 4 · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+40.6
9/29 Table B Game 2	East 4, 3 honba · Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya	Ken Sonoda	+40.0
10/1 Game 1	South 2 · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+53.9
10/1 Game 2	East 3, 5 honba · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+25.9
10/1 Table B Game 1	East 1 · Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000	Shota Akutsu	+31.4
10/1 Table B Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki	Shingo Hori	+34.2
10/2 Game 1	East 1 · Arisa Date tsumo 8,000	Arisa Date	+25.1
10/2 Game 2	East 2, 1 honba · Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo	Naoki Setokuma	+21.8
10/2 Table B Game 1	South 3 · Maki Asami tsumo 12,000	Maki Asami	+41.3
10/2 Table B Game 2	East 1 · Wataru Shirinashihama ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda	Wataru Shirinashihama	+32.9
10/5 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa	Aiko Hinata	+20.9
10/5 Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200	Hisato Sasaki	+38.5
10/5 Table B Game 1	South 1, 1 honba · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 16,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+53.0
10/5 Table B Game 2	South 2 · Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000	Kei Nakabayashi	+35.2
10/6 Game 1	East 3 · Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Hinako Sano	Naoki Setokuma	+36.6
10/6 Game 2	East 3 · Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Taro Suzuki	+31.6
10/6 Table B Game 1	East 2 · Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000	Sayaka Okada	+39.4
10/6 Table B Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura	Hisato Sasaki	+45.1
10/8 Game 1	East 3 · Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000	Kotaro Uchikawa	+31.6
10/8 Game 2	East 2 · Kotaro Uchikawa ron 9,600 from Ken Sonoda	Kotaro Uchikawa	+24.1
10/8 Table B Game 1	South 4 · HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa	HIRO Shibata	+42.3
10/8 Table B Game 2	East 3 · Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura	Sho Shiratori	+22.5
10/9 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Daisuke Suzuki	+40.7
10/9 Game 2	South 1, 2 honba · Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido	Yu Suzuki	+29.0
10/9 Table B Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000	Sayaka Okada	+41.8
10/9 Table B Game 2	South 3 · Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000	Tomohiro Honda	+42.2
10/12 Game 1	South 4 · Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu	Kana Nakada	+64.6
10/12 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000	Rio Tojyo	+30.8
10/12 Table B Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000	Naoki Setokuma	+29.0
10/12 Table B Game 2	South 1 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000	Hisato Sasaki	+38.6
10/13 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara	Hiroshi Daigo	+45.6
10/13 Game 2	East 2 · Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Kayamori	+49.8
10/13 Table B Game 1	South 3 · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000	Takaharu Ooi	+36.9
10/13 Table B Game 2	East 1 · Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Daisuke Suzuki	+32.4
10/15 Game 1	South 2, 2 honba · Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000	Yu Suzuki	+38.1
10/15 Game 2	South 2 · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+51.5
10/15 Table B Game 1	East 2, 3 honba · Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa	Takaharu Ooi	+22.0
10/15 Table B Game 2	East 4 · Hinako Sano ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori	Hinako Sano	+44.3
10/16 Game 1	East 1, 1 honba · Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata	Naoki Setokuma	+30.0
10/16 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000	Tomohiro Honda	+25.6
10/16 Table B Game 1	South 2 · Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 32,000	Wataru Shirinashihama	+71.7
10/16 Table B Game 2	East 3 · Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000	Futoshi Watanabe	+45.5
10/19 Game 1	South 2 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+32.6
10/19 Game 2	South 4 · Arisa Date tsumo 8,000	Arisa Date	+49.3
10/19 Table B Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki	HIRO Shibata	+49.9
10/19 Table B Game 2	East 1 · Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami	Kenji Katsumata	+25.8
10/20 Game 1	South 4 · Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa	Kazuma Ishii	+40.7
10/20 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000	Naoki Setokuma	+33.5
10/20 Table B Game 1	South 1 · Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000	Geki Shimoishi	+37.4
10/20 Table B Game 2	East 4, 1 honba · Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000	Mari Takamiya	+35.1
10/22 Game 1	East 2 · Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000	Hiroshi Daigo	+33.2
10/22 Game 2	East 1, 2 honba · Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000	Kei Nakabayashi	+32.3
10/22 Table B Game 1	East 1, 1 honba · Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000	Shingo Hori	+30.2
10/22 Table B Game 2	East 3 · Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Okada	+48.1
10/23 Game 1	South 2 · Maki Asami tsumo 8,000	Maki Asami	+30.4
10/23 Game 2	East 2 · Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Kenji Katsumata	+25.0
10/23 Table B Game 1	East 4 · Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara	Geki Shimoishi	+32.0
10/23 Table B Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	Saki Kurosawa	+67.4
10/26 Game 1	South 1, 1 honba · Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara	Ken Sonoda	+34.6
10/26 Game 2	East 2 · Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000	Kei Nakabayashi	+29.2
10/26 Table B Game 1	East 2, 2 honba · HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	HIRO Shibata	+32.6
10/26 Table B Game 2	East 1, 1 honba · Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000	Shingo Hori	+27.1
10/27 Game 1	South 2 · Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000	Hiroshi Daigo	+41.9
10/27 Game 2	East 3 · Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori	Tomohiro Honda	+32.5
10/27 Table B Game 1	East 2 · HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Maki Asami	HIRO Shibata	+30.5
10/27 Table B Game 2	South 2 · Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda	Megumu Aikawa	+35.4
10/29 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · HIRO Shibata ron 32,000 from Arisa Date	HIRO Shibata	+109.1
10/29 Game 2	South 3, 2 honba · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	Hisato Sasaki	+39.8
10/29 Table B Game 1	South 1, 1 honba · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+32.9
10/29 Table B Game 2	South 4 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Wataru Shirinashihama	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+43.1
10/30 Game 1	East 4, 4 honba · Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Okada	+47.6
10/30 Game 2	East 2 · Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000	Tomohiro Honda	+49.7
10/30 Table B Game 1	South 1, 3 honba · Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000	Kei Nakabayashi	+30.1
10/30 Table B Game 2	East 1 · Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura	Geki Shimoishi	+41.5
11/2 Game 1	East 1 · HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000	HIRO Shibata	+32.0
11/2 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki	Rio Tojyo	+30.4
11/2 Table B Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki	Tomohiro Honda	+34.8
11/2 Table B Game 2	South 1 · Takaharu Ooi ron 18,000 from Kei Nakabayashi	Takaharu Ooi	+36.8
11/3 Game 1	East 4, 1 honba · Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo	Sayaka Okada	+25.6
11/3 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000	Shingo Hori	+29.4
11/3 Table B Game 1	East 4 · Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000	Genta Takeuchi	+29.5
11/3 Table B Game 2	East 4 · Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe	Naoki Setokuma	+35.3
11/5 Game 1	South 4 · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000	Naoki Setokuma	+67.0
11/5 Game 2	South 2 · Kazunori Takizawa ron 16,000 from Shota Akutsu	Kazunori Takizawa	+34.5
11/5 Table B Game 1	South 2 · Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hinako Sano	Aki Nikaido	+31.2
11/5 Table B Game 2	South 1, 2 honba · Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori	Futoshi Watanabe	+20.3
11/6 Game 1	South 2 · Maki Asami tsumo 12,000	Maki Asami	+47.8
11/6 Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya	Taro Suzuki	+44.7
11/6 Table B Game 1	East 3 · Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 18,000	Kei Nakabayashi	+44.7
11/6 Table B Game 2	South 1 · Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000	Kazuma Ishii	+26.9
11/9 Game 1	East 2 · Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000	Shota Akutsu	+35.3
11/9 Game 2	South 2, 3 honba · Hinako Sano ron 16,000 from Kei Nakabayashi	Hinako Sano	+43.5
11/9 Table B Game 1	South 3 · Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi	Hisato Sasaki	+24.3
11/9 Table B Game 2	South 4 · Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Mari Takamiya	+41.8
11/10 Game 1	East 3, 2 honba · Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Okada	+35.3
11/10 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000	Shingo Hori	+34.8
11/10 Table B Game 1	East 3, 2 honba · Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura	Tomohiro Honda	+28.2
11/10 Table B Game 2	South 3 · HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000	HIRO Shibata	+36.6
11/12 Game 1	South 4 · Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200	Hiroshi Daigo	+43.2
11/12 Game 2	South 2, 3 honba · Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Arisa Date	+43.4
11/12 Table B Game 1	South 4 · Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii	Wataru Shirinashihama	+34.9
11/12 Table B Game 2	East 2 · Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000	Shingo Hori	+43.3

Expected pt change: how much the player's expected final points (estimated by simulation) moved over that hand (Methodology 6 (Japanese)).The game results themselves are on the official M.League site.