Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/14 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +23.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -5.7 | +7.7 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 30% | 22% | 26% | +23.0 | -14.2 | -3.7 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 39% | 20% | 21% | 20% | +0.2 | -2.1 | +14.6 | -12.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 18% | 30% | 14% | -9.5 | +41.5 | -20.8 | -11.2 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 52% | 13% | 9% | +22.0 | -6.0 | -4.8 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 46% | 41% | 9% | 4% | +1.0 | 0.0 | -20.2 | +19.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 39% | 4% | 8% | -0.5 | -2.3 | -3.6 | +6.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 48% | 38% | 4% | 10% | +11.5 | -31.3 | -7.8 | +27.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 8% | 0% | 20% | +11.9 | -7.3 | +1.1 | -5.7 |