Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/14 Game 2

Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +23.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Asakura Koshin● Sasaki Hisato● Miura Tomohiro● Matsumoto Yoshihiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Asakura● Sasaki● Miura● Matsumoto
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAsakura Koshin
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Asakura Koshin
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,50025%24%26%25%-4.0+8.7-3.3-1.4
East 2Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,00022%30%23%25%+21.6-13.3-4.0-4.3
East 3Miura Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro38%21%21%20%-1.2+0.4+15.2-14.4
East 3, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00036%20%31%13%-8.8+38.2-22.4-7.1
East 4Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,00025%52%13%10%+23.6-6.1-4.5-12.9
South 1Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro46%41%9%4%+1.2+0.2-20.5+19.2
South 2Draw49%39%4%7%+1.9-3.3-3.0+4.3
South 3, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato53%35%4%8%+9.3-30.6-7.7+29.0
South 4Draw73%8%0%18%+11.1-7.1+1.0-5.0

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)