Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/15 Game 1
Wataru Shirinashihama finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 18,000, which moved Wataru Shirinashihama's expected points by +56.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -12.7 | +20.8 | -4.2 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 41% | 22% | 21% | -4.8 | +4.8 | -3.4 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 14% | 45% | 19% | 23% | +3.0 | +9.6 | -1.4 | -11.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 54% | 17% | 15% | -3.0 | -0.2 | -3.7 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 54% | 14% | 19% | +7.1 | +1.8 | -4.4 | -4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 57% | 11% | 17% | +11.5 | -1.5 | -3.2 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 22% | 56% | 10% | 12% | -1.0 | -16.3 | -2.7 | +20.0 |
| South 2 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 39% | 11% | 27% | -5.0 | -9.1 | -6.1 | +20.2 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 28% | 9% | 44% | +59.0 | -20.5 | -21.0 | -17.6 |
| South 4 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 18,000 | 87% | 2% | 0% | 11% | -37.5 | -12.1 | -6.5 | +56.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 0% | 0% | 90% | -4.0 | -0.5 | +1.9 | +2.5 |