Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/15 Game 1
Shirinashihama Wataru finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 18,000, which moved Shirinashihama Wataru's expected points by +57.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shirinashihama Wataru 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shirinashihama Wataru Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -12.2 | +22.1 | -5.4 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 42% | 20% | 22% | -3.0 | +1.4 | -3.5 | +5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Shirinashihama Wataru | 14% | 42% | 19% | 25% | -0.7 | +12.1 | +0.1 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shirinashihama Wataru ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 13% | 53% | 17% | 17% | 0.0 | +1.2 | -4.0 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 12% | 57% | 14% | 17% | +6.7 | -0.2 | -3.3 | -3.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 57% | 12% | 15% | +9.3 | +0.2 | -3.6 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Shirinashihama Wataru ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 20% | 57% | 11% | 12% | +0.3 | -18.0 | -2.3 | +19.9 |
| South 2 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 39% | 11% | 26% | -4.8 | -10.7 | -7.5 | +23.0 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000 | 17% | 26% | 9% | 48% | +59.6 | -18.2 | -20.9 | -20.6 |
| South 4 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 18,000 | 87% | 2% | 0% | 11% | -37.7 | -12.8 | -6.5 | +57.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 0% | 0% | 91% | -4.0 | -0.1 | +2.1 | +2.0 |