Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/15 Game 2

Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 16,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +35.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Asami Maki 1st-place chance	Okada Sayaka Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Asami Maki Expected pt change
East 1	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka	25%	26%	23%	26%	-22.1	-1.2	+24.2	-0.9
East 2	Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	12%	25%	40%	24%	+1.0	-31.4	-2.5	+32.9
East 3	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,500	11%	7%	34%	49%	-2.2	-1.5	+5.2	-1.5
East 3, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	9%	6%	39%	46%	+0.6	-6.3	+5.8	-0.1
East 3, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 24,000	8%	4%	43%	44%	-13.0	-11.6	+49.3	-24.7
East 3, 3 honba	Draw	1%	1%	90%	8%	-0.9	-1.8	+0.9	+1.8
East 3, 4 honba	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000	1%	0%	90%	9%	-11.0	+27.7	-8.4	-8.3
East 4	Draw	1%	3%	88%	8%	-2.2	+3.9	+2.8	-4.5
South 1, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 16,000	1%	3%	92%	4%	-16.8	+35.1	-6.0	-12.3
South 2	Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Asami Maki	0%	10%	87%	3%	+5.0	+33.5	-11.8	-26.7
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	0%	42%	58%	0%	+4.3	-1.7	-0.5	-2.1
South 3, 2 honba	Asami Maki tsumo 12,000	0%	41%	58%	0%	-11.2	+4.7	-15.9	+22.4
South 4	Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka	0%	60%	38%	1%	-13.1	-2.6	-0.6	+16.3
South 4, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100	0%	57%	38%	5%	-0.6	+21.5	-14.0	-6.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)