Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/15 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -20.3 | -0.2 | +21.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 12% | 24% | 40% | 23% | -1.2 | -31.7 | -1.2 | +34.1 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 7% | 36% | 48% | -1.0 | -0.7 | +4.1 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 9% | 7% | 38% | 46% | +0.8 | -7.6 | +7.0 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 24,000 | 9% | 4% | 44% | 43% | -13.6 | -9.7 | +49.4 | -26.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 91% | 7% | -0.9 | -2.8 | +0.3 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 90% | 8% | -10.9 | +26.8 | -8.8 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 89% | 8% | -1.3 | +3.1 | +3.8 | -5.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 2% | 94% | 3% | -17.3 | +36.9 | -7.3 | -12.2 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Maki Asami | 0% | 10% | 87% | 2% | +5.3 | +32.8 | -11.1 | -26.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 41% | 59% | 0% | +3.2 | -2.1 | +0.2 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 39% | 60% | 0% | -10.7 | +4.3 | -16.3 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 58% | 40% | 2% | -13.1 | 0.0 | -1.5 | +14.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 58% | 37% | 5% | -0.4 | +20.1 | -13.8 | -5.9 |