Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/17 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +45.5 | -15.0 | -16.6 | -14.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 13% | 13% | 12% | +3.0 | -2.6 | +1.6 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 64% | 12% | 12% | 11% | -3.4 | -26.7 | +0.1 | +30.0 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 6,400 from Tomohiro Honda | 60% | 4% | 11% | 24% | 0.0 | -4.0 | +15.4 | -11.4 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 61% | 2% | 18% | 19% | +2.0 | 0.0 | -31.6 | +29.6 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 59% | 2% | 4% | 36% | +0.4 | +3.6 | -4.0 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 60% | 2% | 3% | 36% | -22.0 | -4.1 | +17.2 | +8.8 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 35% | 2% | 7% | 56% | +1.3 | +27.5 | -27.6 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 37% | 6% | 2% | 54% | -22.6 | -4.7 | +15.5 | +11.8 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 2% | 6% | 79% | -7.1 | +23.9 | -17.7 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 9% | 7% | 0% | 84% | +16.1 | -12.3 | -9.3 | +5.5 |