Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/17 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +45.8 | -14.8 | -15.7 | -15.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 63% | 11% | 13% | 13% | +0.7 | +0.2 | +0.4 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 63% | 11% | 13% | 13% | -2.3 | -26.7 | -0.7 | +29.7 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 59% | 4% | 12% | 26% | +3.2 | -5.0 | +16.4 | -14.6 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 63% | 3% | 18% | 16% | -0.7 | +0.2 | -33.0 | +33.5 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 58% | 1% | 3% | 38% | +1.0 | +4.6 | -3.2 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 61% | 2% | 3% | 34% | -22.5 | -4.5 | +19.1 | +7.9 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 35% | 2% | 9% | 54% | +1.2 | +26.7 | -28.9 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 37% | 6% | 3% | 54% | -21.5 | -4.9 | +15.8 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 3% | 6% | 78% | -8.6 | +24.8 | -18.1 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 8% | 7% | 0% | 85% | +16.8 | -12.2 | -9.4 | +4.9 |