Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/17 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +57.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -2.6 | -0.7 | -18.7 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 23% | 23% | 14% | 41% | -0.2 | -7.6 | +6.6 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 18% | 17% | 42% | -8.1 | +27.3 | -15.2 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 38% | 9% | 38% | -7.3 | +33.4 | -4.8 | -21.3 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 8% | 75% | 5% | 12% | +6.1 | -1.4 | -5.7 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 10% | 73% | 4% | 14% | -23.8 | +4.4 | +17.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Daisuke Suzuki | 2% | 81% | 6% | 12% | +0.8 | +2.4 | +0.5 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 84% | 5% | 10% | -0.1 | -1.1 | +4.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 86% | 6% | 8% | +42.0 | -2.6 | -28.6 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 9,600 | 7% | 87% | 0% | 6% | -13.7 | -7.3 | -5.4 | +26.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 78% | 0% | 16% | +3.6 | -5.3 | -2.0 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 11% | 69% | 0% | 20% | +57.5 | -25.9 | -8.4 | -23.3 |