Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/17 Game 2

Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +56.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Ishii Kazuma● Sonoda Ken● Hagiwara Masato● Suzuki Daisuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Ishii● Sonoda● Hagiwara● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultIshii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato24%25%25%26%-3.9+1.2-19.1+21.8
East 2Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken20%24%15%42%+3.5-10.5+4.7+2.3
East 3Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,00023%17%16%44%-8.6+27.0-14.1-4.3
East 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,00017%35%9%39%-8.2+35.9-6.6-21.1
South 1Ishii Kazuma ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato9%75%4%13%+6.8-0.9-5.9-0.1
South 1, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma10%74%3%13%-24.9+3.4+19.8+1.7
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Suzuki Daisuke1%80%6%13%+1.6+2.9+0.6-5.2
South 2, 1 honbaDraw1%83%6%10%-0.3-1.9+4.4-2.1
South 3, 2 honbaIshii Kazuma tsumo 12,0001%84%7%8%+42.7-1.9-29.6-11.2
South 4Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 9,6008%87%0%6%-14.6-7.6-5.7+27.8
South 4, 1 honbaDraw6%77%0%17%+5.3-4.7-2.2+1.5
South 4, 2 honbaIshii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato12%70%0%18%+56.3-26.2-8.4-21.7

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)