Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/18 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shirinashihama Wataru 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shirinashihama Wataru Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -19.4 | +33.0 | -9.0 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 52% | 17% | 20% | +0.5 | -0.3 | +11.1 | -11.3 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 52% | 23% | 14% | +10.4 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -9.1 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 53% | 22% | 10% | -10.5 | -11.0 | -12.0 | +33.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 43% | 16% | 28% | +2.8 | +2.7 | -1.4 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Shirinashihama Wataru tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 46% | 15% | 25% | -7.8 | +11.2 | -3.5 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 7% | 58% | 13% | 22% | -20.2 | -3.8 | -1.0 | +25.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 49% | 8% | 42% | -2.7 | -3.0 | -6.0 | +11.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 39% | 1% | 60% | +3.4 | -11.0 | -12.6 | +20.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | -6.8 | -3.4 | +8.8 | +1.4 |