Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/18 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -20.0 | +34.4 | -7.8 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 52% | 18% | 18% | +1.0 | -2.0 | +8.6 | -7.6 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 50% | 22% | 15% | +8.4 | +2.7 | -0.3 | -10.8 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 55% | 20% | 10% | -9.1 | -13.1 | -10.9 | +33.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 41% | 17% | 29% | +2.7 | +3.4 | -1.9 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 45% | 17% | 25% | -8.1 | +13.3 | -5.2 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 6% | 61% | 11% | 22% | -19.6 | -6.5 | +1.1 | +24.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 48% | 9% | 42% | -2.2 | -1.2 | -7.4 | +10.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 41% | 1% | 57% | +3.5 | -13.0 | -12.5 | +21.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | -7.3 | -2.5 | +9.2 | +0.6 |