Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/18 Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+51.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +44.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Hori Shingo● Suzuki Yu● Date Arisa● Honda Tomohiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hori● Suzuki● Date● Honda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
East 1Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Date Arisa24%26%23%27%+0.3-2.2-6.6+8.5
East 2Draw23%23%21%33%+4.3-3.0-0.4-1.0
East 3, 1 honbaDraw27%21%22%31%+3.2+4.0-5.0-2.3
East 4, 2 honbaDraw29%24%18%29%+8.0-2.6-1.7-3.6
South 1, 3 honbaDate Arisa ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu35%22%16%27%-17.1-4.6+23.2-1.5
South 2Suzuki Yu ron 1,300 from Date Arisa22%20%32%26%+6.8-2.4-2.4-2.0
South 3Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00027%18%28%26%-7.4+44.3-24.4-12.5
South 4Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Date Arisa13%65%7%15%+11.0+17.3-23.9-4.4

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)