Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/18 Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+51.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +44.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shingo Hori● Yu Suzuki● Arisa Date● Tomohiro Honda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Yu● Arisa● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Arisa Date
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Arisa Date
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Arisa Date26%27%23%25%-1.2-2.7-8.3+12.3
East 2Exhaustive draw23%24%19%34%+2.1-3.8+1.5+0.1
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw25%22%19%34%+4.2+3.2-3.0-4.4
East 4, 2 honbaExhaustive draw28%24%17%31%+8.9+0.3-3.6-5.5
South 1, 3 honbaArisa Date ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki35%25%16%25%-16.9-8.2+25.0+0.1
South 2Yu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Arisa Date21%19%33%27%+7.9-1.9-4.3-1.7
South 3Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00028%17%29%26%-7.3+44.8-24.8-12.8
South 4Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Arisa Date15%64%7%14%+10.0+17.2-22.6-4.6

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)