Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/21 Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +49.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -12.7 | +25.3 | -4.6 | -8.0 |
| East 2 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 42% | 21% | 21% | -1.2 | -4.0 | -2.7 | +7.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 39% | 20% | 25% | +5.8 | -1.2 | -5.2 | +0.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 38% | 16% | 28% | -5.3 | -2.7 | +21.7 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 36% | 30% | 17% | -13.1 | -4.8 | -4.8 | +22.7 |
| South 2 | Akutsu Shota ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 9% | 31% | 27% | 34% | -17.7 | -2.8 | -2.3 | +22.8 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 21% | 20% | 57% | -5.6 | -20.0 | +49.8 | -24.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 4% | 78% | 18% | -2.1 | -4.6 | +13.2 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | -11.7 | +22.3 | -0.2 | -10.3 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -0.3 | +6.0 | +2.9 | -8.6 |