Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/21 Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -12.8 | +21.0 | -4.9 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 41% | 21% | 23% | -0.4 | -4.0 | -1.7 | +6.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 36% | 21% | 27% | +6.8 | +1.1 | -4.9 | -3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 38% | 18% | 25% | -5.6 | -4.4 | +19.7 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 35% | 30% | 17% | -12.3 | -2.8 | -4.8 | +19.8 |
| South 2 | Shota Akutsu ron 5,200 from Kana Nakada | 9% | 31% | 27% | 33% | -18.8 | -2.6 | -2.0 | +23.5 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 21% | 20% | 57% | -5.6 | -19.8 | +50.5 | -25.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 5% | 79% | 16% | -1.9 | -5.6 | +12.4 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 1% | 91% | 8% | -11.8 | +22.9 | +0.5 | -11.6 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 94% | 5% | -0.3 | +6.0 | +2.3 | -8.0 |