Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/21 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -4.7 | +5.5 | +1.0 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 29% | 25% | 24% | -2.0 | +1.4 | -5.9 | +6.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 30% | 21% | 28% | -10.0 | -15.5 | +31.0 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 17% | 46% | 23% | -2.8 | -7.0 | +15.0 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 11% | 12% | 59% | 18% | -13.2 | +0.6 | +13.4 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 9% | 72% | 14% | +12.2 | -2.8 | -5.4 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 9% | 70% | 12% | -12.1 | +0.7 | +13.0 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 6% | 84% | 6% | -7.9 | +3.3 | +0.3 | +4.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 6% | 87% | 6% | -2.1 | +6.2 | -1.6 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 8% | 85% | 7% | -4.9 | -6.4 | +0.8 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 2% | 89% | 8% | +8.0 | -26.4 | +15.2 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -2.2 | -4.9 | -6.6 | +13.8 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -14.2 | +20.5 | +1.3 | -7.6 |