Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/21 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +30.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Shingo Hori● Ken Sonoda● Geki Shimoishi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Shingo● Ken● Geki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%24%25%26%-4.2+7.8-3.3-0.3
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw22%30%23%25%-4.1+1.4-1.5+4.1
East 2, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00020%31%22%28%-6.2-18.9+30.9-5.8
East 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,00016%17%45%23%-4.5-2.8+14.8-7.5
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Shingo Hori11%14%59%16%-14.1+0.1+12.9+1.2
East 3, 2 honbaShingo Hori tsumo 4,0005%10%72%13%+13.0-4.2-6.5-2.3
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori9%9%67%15%-12.9+0.8+13.7-1.6
South 1Exhaustive draw3%6%84%7%-7.5+2.7+1.3+3.5
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw1%5%88%7%-2.2+6.4-2.4-1.8
South 2, 2 honbaGeki Shimoishi tsumo 2,0000%8%85%7%-3.2-7.0+2.0+8.2
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda0%1%91%7%+6.5-25.6+14.1+5.0
South 3, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi tsumo 8,0000%0%96%4%-1.9-4.9-6.0+12.9
South 4Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,0000%0%94%6%-14.2+20.5+1.1-7.4

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)