Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/21 Table B Game 2

Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +52.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Katsumata Kenji● Ishii Kazuma● Honda Tomohiro● Takeuchi Genta0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Katsumata● Ishii● Honda● Takeuchi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultIshii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
East 1Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,00025%24%26%25%-18.3+33.5-6.5-8.7
East 2Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma13%51%19%18%-18.2-3.3+22.3-0.8
East 3Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Takeuchi Genta6%45%32%17%-1.1-0.3+13.2-11.8
East 3, 1 honbaDraw4%43%42%11%-1.9-4.3+2.8+3.4
East 3, 2 honbaHonda Tomohiro tsumo 12,0005%37%46%12%-5.8-13.2+28.1-9.1
East 3, 3 honbaDraw2%17%76%5%-1.6-2.8+6.8-2.5
East 3, 4 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 8,0001%13%82%3%-6.1+22.0-12.2-3.7
East 4Takeuchi Genta ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji1%30%66%4%-0.9-12.1+3.3+9.7
East 4, 1 honbaIshii Kazuma tsumo 8,0001%21%73%5%+14.6-2.0-0.2-12.4
South 1Ishii Kazuma tsumo 3,9002%19%77%2%+7.7-2.9-2.1-2.7
South 1, 1 honbaDraw3%18%76%3%+4.1-3.2-1.9+1.0
South 1, 2 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 5,2005%18%74%3%-12.8-2.5-0.4+15.7
South 2Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma1%15%78%6%-19.5+26.6-8.2+1.1
South 2, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji0%38%57%5%-0.5-23.6+23.8+0.3
South 3Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro0%4%94%2%+3.8+0.4-4.1-0.1
South 4Takeuchi Genta ron 24,000 from Honda Tomohiro0%3%95%2%-0.8+1.9-79.4+78.4
South 4, 1 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 12,0000%8%2%90%-4.3+52.8-5.1-43.5

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)