Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/21 Table B Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +52.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -17.9 | +32.2 | -8.2 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 13% | 49% | 19% | 19% | -18.7 | -0.5 | +23.7 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Genta Takeuchi | 6% | 48% | 32% | 14% | +0.6 | -1.6 | +14.2 | -13.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 42% | 44% | 9% | -0.7 | -6.6 | +2.4 | +4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 35% | 48% | 11% | -8.1 | -11.5 | +27.6 | -8.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 17% | 76% | 5% | -2.1 | -2.2 | +5.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 13% | 81% | 4% | -5.3 | +21.4 | -11.3 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 31% | 65% | 3% | -1.9 | -10.8 | +1.7 | +11.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 22% | 71% | 6% | +14.9 | -3.6 | +1.2 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 19% | 77% | 2% | +7.1 | -2.1 | -2.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 18% | 76% | 3% | +4.7 | -1.6 | -2.7 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 19% | 73% | 3% | -12.1 | -4.2 | +1.0 | +15.3 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 1% | 16% | 77% | 6% | -19.7 | +27.1 | -8.6 | +1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 39% | 56% | 4% | -0.8 | -24.6 | +23.5 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 4% | 93% | 3% | +3.8 | +0.6 | -3.6 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 24,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -0.9 | +2.3 | -79.1 | +77.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 9% | 2% | 89% | -4.2 | +52.6 | -5.5 | -42.9 |