Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/21 Table B Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +52.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -18.3 | +33.5 | -6.5 | -8.7 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 13% | 51% | 19% | 18% | -18.2 | -3.3 | +22.3 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Takeuchi Genta | 6% | 45% | 32% | 17% | -1.1 | -0.3 | +13.2 | -11.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 43% | 42% | 11% | -1.9 | -4.3 | +2.8 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 37% | 46% | 12% | -5.8 | -13.2 | +28.1 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 17% | 76% | 5% | -1.6 | -2.8 | +6.8 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 13% | 82% | 3% | -6.1 | +22.0 | -12.2 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 30% | 66% | 4% | -0.9 | -12.1 | +3.3 | +9.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 21% | 73% | 5% | +14.6 | -2.0 | -0.2 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 3,900 | 2% | 19% | 77% | 2% | +7.7 | -2.9 | -2.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 18% | 76% | 3% | +4.1 | -3.2 | -1.9 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 18% | 74% | 3% | -12.8 | -2.5 | -0.4 | +15.7 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 1% | 15% | 78% | 6% | -19.5 | +26.6 | -8.2 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 38% | 57% | 5% | -0.5 | -23.6 | +23.8 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 4% | 94% | 2% | +3.8 | +0.4 | -4.1 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 24,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 3% | 95% | 2% | -0.8 | +1.9 | -79.4 | +78.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 2% | 90% | -4.3 | +52.8 | -5.1 | -43.5 |