Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/22 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -12.0 | +1.8 | +9.7 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 26% | 30% | 27% | -0.6 | +6.0 | -1.8 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 31% | 29% | 24% | -6.7 | -12.9 | +21.7 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 12% | 19% | 49% | 20% | -0.1 | +39.2 | -6.4 | -32.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 49% | 35% | 6% | -6.0 | +2.6 | -1.8 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 52% | 31% | 8% | -2.4 | +1.0 | +10.7 | -9.3 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 5% | 51% | 41% | 3% | -6.9 | +10.3 | -0.3 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 1% | 63% | 34% | 2% | -3.7 | -24.3 | +12.1 | +15.8 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 32% | 62% | 5% | +4.0 | +6.9 | -1.3 | -9.6 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 36% | 61% | 3% | +6.2 | +30.5 | -27.0 | -9.8 |