Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/22 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -12.8 | +0.1 | +11.4 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 25% | 31% | 27% | -2.0 | +4.0 | +0.5 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 27% | 32% | 25% | -1.9 | -9.0 | +16.0 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 20% | 45% | 20% | -2.4 | +37.1 | -4.5 | -30.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 49% | 35% | 6% | -7.0 | +4.3 | -0.6 | +3.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 53% | 33% | 7% | -0.7 | -1.7 | +12.3 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 5% | 48% | 44% | 3% | -7.1 | +10.7 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 1% | 61% | 37% | 2% | -3.8 | -22.3 | +10.9 | +15.2 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 33% | 62% | 5% | +3.7 | +5.7 | -0.7 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 36% | 61% | 3% | +6.2 | +31.2 | -27.4 | -10.0 |