Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/22 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.6 | +13.6 | -0.4 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 18% | 34% | 24% | 24% | -1.1 | +9.0 | -8.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Shota Akutsu | 16% | 41% | 18% | 25% | -28.8 | +26.5 | +2.5 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 63% | 14% | 19% | -1.2 | -31.4 | -0.5 | +33.1 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 31% | 16% | 49% | -2.8 | -4.8 | -12.5 | +20.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 21% | 6% | 71% | +3.0 | -4.1 | -2.3 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 2% | 17% | 6% | 75% | +4.5 | -0.4 | -25.0 | +20.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 7% | 1% | 91% | +16.2 | -5.4 | -5.7 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 0% | 91% | -12.1 | -2.4 | +14.5 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Shota Akutsu | 0% | 4% | 2% | 94% | -3.4 | +0.1 | -0.8 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +10.4 | +1.2 | -11.1 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.1 | -1.2 | -0.7 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.7 | +3.7 | -5.3 | -1.0 |