Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/22 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -12.7 | +9.6 | +3.2 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 32% | 26% | 26% | -0.2 | +7.4 | -7.3 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 17% | 37% | 21% | 26% | -28.2 | +29.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 63% | 14% | 19% | -1.8 | -31.0 | +0.2 | +32.6 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 31% | 16% | 49% | -3.5 | -4.8 | -12.9 | +21.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 19% | 6% | 73% | +3.8 | -3.8 | -2.6 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 17% | 5% | 75% | +3.8 | -1.1 | -23.5 | +20.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 6% | 1% | 92% | +17.0 | -4.9 | -6.0 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 6% | 1% | 91% | -11.9 | -2.1 | +14.0 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Akutsu Shota | 0% | 4% | 1% | 94% | -2.9 | +0.2 | -1.1 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | +9.4 | +1.1 | -10.0 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.7 | -1.4 | -1.4 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.7 | +3.6 | -5.3 | -1.0 |