Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/22 Table B Game 2

Nakada Kana finished 1st (+89.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +30.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2South 3End● Nakada Kana● Takizawa Kazunori● Nakabayashi Kei● Sano Hinako0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 3End● Nakada● Takizawa● Nakabayashi● Sano
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Nakabayashi Kei
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Sano Hinako
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Nakabayashi Kei
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Sano Hinako
Expected pt change
East 1Nakada Kana tsumo 8,00024%24%24%27%-11.2-3.5+21.9-7.3
East 2Nakada Kana tsumo 12,00016%21%42%21%-6.3-17.4+30.5-6.8
East 3Draw9%8%71%13%-4.1+1.9-1.9+4.1
East 4, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,6007%8%71%14%+9.0-6.0+1.1-4.2
South 1Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Sano Hinako9%6%74%10%-3.5+9.2+4.9-10.7
South 2Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 7,8004%7%83%6%-7.4+23.0-7.6-8.0
South 2, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei4%18%73%5%+14.9-19.3+6.8-2.4
South 3Draw5%5%85%4%-3.7+4.4+2.7-3.3
South 3, 1 honbaNakada Kana tsumo 6,0003%4%89%3%-3.6-3.2+9.4-2.6
South 3, 2 honbaNakada Kana ron 7,700 from Sano Hinako1%1%97%2%+2.9+1.8+9.2-13.9
South 3, 3 honbaNakada Kana ron 4,800 from Takizawa Kazunori0%0%99%0%-11.8+4.0+6.2+1.6
South 3, 4 honbaNakada Kana tsumo 3,9000%0%99%1%-1.4-1.8+5.4-2.1
South 3, 5 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Nakabayashi Kei0%0%100%0%+20.2-17.7-1.2-1.2
South 4Nakada Kana tsumo 2,0000%0%100%0%+5.1-1.5+2.5-6.2

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)