Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/22 Table B Game 2

Kana Nakada finished 1st (+89.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +30.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance	Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance	Kana Nakada 1st-place chance	Hinako Sano 1st-place chance	Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change	Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change	Kana Nakada Expected pt change	Hinako Sano Expected pt change
East 1	Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000	25%	24%	26%	25%	-11.4	-5.9	+20.9	-3.7
East 2	Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000	18%	19%	41%	21%	-8.0	-14.7	+30.7	-8.0
East 3	Exhaustive draw	9%	9%	71%	12%	-3.5	+1.4	-2.5	+4.5
East 4, 1 honba	Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,600	7%	8%	70%	14%	+8.0	-5.2	+2.7	-5.5
South 1	Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,600 from Hinako Sano	9%	6%	76%	9%	-1.5	+8.1	+4.0	-10.7
South 2	Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 7,800	5%	7%	83%	5%	-7.9	+22.8	-7.1	-7.7
South 2, 1 honba	Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Kei Nakabayashi	4%	18%	73%	5%	+14.8	-18.5	+5.7	-2.0
South 3	Exhaustive draw	6%	5%	85%	4%	-5.1	+5.1	+2.6	-2.7
South 3, 1 honba	Kana Nakada tsumo 6,000	4%	5%	88%	3%	-3.3	-3.7	+9.4	-2.4
South 3, 2 honba	Kana Nakada ron 7,700 from Hinako Sano	1%	1%	96%	2%	+2.4	+1.4	+10.1	-13.9
South 3, 3 honba	Kana Nakada ron 4,800 from Kazunori Takizawa	0%	0%	99%	0%	-10.8	+3.9	+5.8	+1.2
South 3, 4 honba	Kana Nakada tsumo 3,900	0%	0%	100%	0%	-1.0	-1.4	+5.1	-2.8
South 3, 5 honba	Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Kei Nakabayashi	0%	0%	100%	0%	+19.7	-18.4	-1.1	-0.1
South 4	Kana Nakada tsumo 2,000	0%	0%	100%	0%	+5.2	-1.3	+2.7	-6.6