Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/24 Game 1
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+102.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo tsumo 24,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +6.0 | +1.8 | +1.2 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 26% | 25% | 21% | -0.3 | +4.2 | +1.3 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,300 from Megumu Aikawa | 28% | 29% | 26% | 18% | -9.0 | -3.8 | +14.3 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 5,800 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 26% | 36% | 16% | +0.3 | +18.1 | -17.2 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 40% | 23% | 16% | +1.5 | +1.3 | -7.8 | +4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 41% | 19% | 19% | -1.1 | -1.0 | -7.0 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 21% | 41% | 15% | 23% | -1.6 | -2.1 | +31.9 | -28.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 37% | 36% | 10% | +2.5 | -1.3 | -4.7 | +3.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 37% | 32% | 11% | -0.8 | -1.5 | -3.0 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 37% | 28% | 14% | -2.5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Megumu Aikawa | 20% | 38% | 27% | 15% | -4.7 | -4.7 | -1.2 | +10.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 17% | 34% | 26% | 23% | +24.7 | -0.4 | -20.2 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 33% | 14% | 18% | -16.1 | +27.9 | -6.1 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 9,600 from Megumu Aikawa | 16% | 63% | 10% | 12% | -26.4 | +20.7 | +3.2 | +2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 24,000 | 1% | 86% | 6% | 7% | -8.9 | +30.7 | -11.1 | -10.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +24.7 | -5.9 | -9.5 | -9.3 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -3.0 | -1.2 | +10.6 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | +2.5 | +18.2 | -13.0 | -7.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -6.4 | +1.1 | +3.7 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +14.3 | +0.2 | -22.6 | +8.1 |