Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/24 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+102.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Tojyo Rio tsumo 24,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 24% | 27% | +1.1 | +4.0 | +3.8 | -8.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 26% | 27% | 21% | +3.1 | +2.5 | -0.7 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,300 from Aikawa Megumu | 27% | 28% | 26% | 19% | -8.5 | -3.8 | +13.6 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,800 from Daigo Hiroshi | 21% | 24% | 37% | 17% | -1.5 | +20.5 | -19.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 41% | 23% | 17% | +2.6 | +1.2 | -6.4 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 21% | 43% | 18% | 18% | -0.8 | -2.7 | -6.7 | +10.2 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 22% | 40% | 16% | 23% | -0.1 | -0.6 | +30.5 | -29.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 37% | 33% | 9% | -0.4 | -0.1 | -3.2 | +3.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 38% | 30% | 11% | +0.6 | -3.1 | -3.6 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 37% | 28% | 15% | -0.7 | -3.6 | -3.6 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Aikawa Megumu | 22% | 34% | 26% | 19% | -6.8 | -1.1 | 0.0 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 33% | 27% | 22% | +24.1 | -0.5 | -19.9 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 32% | 15% | 19% | -16.9 | +28.2 | -6.0 | -5.3 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 9,600 from Aikawa Megumu | 15% | 63% | 10% | 13% | -26.0 | +22.8 | +0.2 | +3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 24,000 | 1% | 88% | 4% | 6% | -8.0 | +28.4 | -9.7 | -10.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +24.7 | -5.7 | -9.5 | -9.4 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -2.4 | -1.1 | +11.3 | -7.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | +1.5 | +17.9 | -12.4 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -6.0 | +1.2 | +2.4 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +14.1 | +0.4 | -21.6 | +7.1 |