Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/24 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+101.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +31.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Daisuke Suzuki● HIRO Shibata● Genta Takeuchi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Daisuke● HIRO● Genta
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 7,80027%25%22%26%+20.6-5.9-4.1-10.6
East 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata41%20%20%20%-3.6-28.1+31.80.0
East 2Exhaustive draw34%7%42%17%+1.2-5.2-1.5+5.5
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00037%5%39%19%-13.2-7.4+30.2-9.6
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw18%2%69%11%-5.8+0.1+6.8-1.1
East 3, 3 honbaExhaustive draw12%2%77%9%-0.2-0.1+4.0-3.8
East 3, 4 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata11%1%81%7%+21.1-15.0-5.4-0.7
East 4HIRO Shibata tsumo 2,00022%1%72%6%+1.2+1.9+1.8-4.9
South 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,20022%0%76%2%-10.6-1.2+12.5-0.6
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi5%1%93%2%+5.3-2.5+0.8-3.6
South 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,8005%0%94%1%-4.9-3.3+9.8-1.6
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw1%0%99%0%+0.9+2.0+1.3-4.1
South 3, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata1%0%99%0%-0.7-16.3+15.3+1.7
South 3, 3 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi0%0%100%0%+2.7+0.4-0.8-2.3
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi0%0%100%0%+0.5+0.4+1.7-2.6

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)