Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/24 Table B Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -14.6 | +24.3 | -4.3 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 16% | 42% | 21% | 21% | +1.2 | +16.2 | -1.9 | -15.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 57% | 17% | 12% | -3.3 | -7.8 | -3.6 | +14.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 51% | 17% | 17% | +4.5 | -4.2 | +5.3 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro | 17% | 46% | 21% | 16% | -2.2 | +14.5 | -4.9 | -7.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 63% | 14% | 11% | -6.0 | -7.4 | -6.5 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 10% | 55% | 13% | 22% | +16.0 | +0.2 | -12.1 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 18% | 56% | 8% | 18% | +29.8 | -6.0 | -23.4 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 40% | 43% | 2% | 15% | +8.8 | -3.6 | -0.9 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 50% | 36% | 2% | 12% | -2.7 | +6.4 | -1.3 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 42% | 2% | 10% | -3.2 | -17.9 | -3.1 | +24.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 46% | 25% | 2% | 28% | +7.1 | -4.5 | +2.3 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 56% | 19% | 2% | 22% | -8.0 | +33.6 | -3.8 | -21.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 33% | 62% | 0% | 6% | -1.0 | -2.6 | -1.4 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 58% | 0% | 9% | -12.7 | +22.6 | -0.6 | -9.3 |