Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

9/24 Table B Game 1

Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +33.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change	Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change
East 1	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	25%	26%	25%	24%	-13.0	+21.7	-4.0	-4.6
East 2	Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki	16%	42%	21%	21%	-0.9	+17.2	-1.5	-14.8
East 2, 1 honba	Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200	13%	58%	18%	11%	-2.2	-8.8	-2.2	+13.2
East 3	Exhaustive draw	13%	51%	18%	18%	+6.3	-4.5	+2.4	-4.2
East 3, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki	17%	46%	19%	17%	-2.4	+15.8	-4.4	-8.9
East 4	Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800	13%	64%	13%	11%	-7.0	-8.7	-6.7	+22.4
East 4, 1 honba	Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai	12%	54%	11%	23%	+13.2	+1.8	-10.4	-4.6
South 1	Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Kosuke Nagai	15%	57%	9%	18%	+33.6	-6.2	-24.8	-2.6
South 1, 1 honba	Akina Mizuhara tsumo 1,500	42%	43%	2%	14%	+8.2	-4.8	-0.1	-3.4
South 1, 2 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100	52%	35%	2%	11%	-4.0	+8.1	-2.1	-2.0
South 2	Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000	45%	45%	2%	9%	-2.7	-19.5	-3.4	+25.6
South 3	Exhaustive draw	46%	24%	1%	29%	+7.1	-4.9	+2.4	-4.7
South 3, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki	56%	18%	1%	24%	-7.1	+33.3	-3.0	-23.2
South 4	Exhaustive draw	35%	59%	0%	6%	-2.2	-1.4	-1.5	+5.2
South 4, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000	33%	58%	0%	9%	-12.3	+22.5	-0.6	-9.6

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)