Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
9/24 Table B Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -4.8 | +23.8 | -21.0 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 41% | 13% | 24% | -1.6 | -1.9 | +4.2 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 39% | 15% | 25% | -3.7 | +6.3 | +2.2 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 18% | 45% | 16% | 21% | +0.6 | -2.1 | -27.5 | +29.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 39% | 4% | 41% | -3.7 | +1.4 | -1.1 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 40% | 4% | 43% | +27.3 | -6.8 | -6.4 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 33% | 34% | 2% | 31% | +32.3 | -2.1 | +2.1 | -32.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 67% | 25% | 2% | 7% | -1.1 | -1.7 | -10.5 | +13.4 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 67% | 21% | 1% | 10% | +9.0 | -4.2 | -3.0 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 7,800 | 81% | 11% | 1% | 7% | -3.0 | -3.9 | +10.2 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 80% | 11% | 2% | 8% | +2.0 | -0.5 | -6.2 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Arisa Date | 86% | 5% | 0% | 9% | +0.1 | -1.4 | -3.1 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,000 from Arisa Date | 85% | 5% | 0% | 10% | +6.0 | +5.6 | -0.7 | -11.0 |